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Export diversification through resource-based industrialization: The case of natural gas

Author

Listed:
  • Olivier Massol

    (LGI - Laboratoire Génie Industriel - CentraleSupélec - Université Paris-Saclay, City University of London)

  • Albert Banal-Estañol

    (City University London, UPF - Universitat Pompeu Fabra [Barcelona])

Abstract

For small resource-rich developing economies, specialization in raw exports is usually considered to be detrimental to growth and Resource-Based Industrialization (RBI) is often advocated to promote export diversification. This paper develops a new methodology to assess the performance of these RBI policies. We first formulate an adapted mean-variance portfolio model that explicitly takes into consideration: (i) a technology-based representation of the set of feasible export combinations and (ii) the cost structure of the resource processing industries. Second, we provide a computationally tractable reformulation of the resulting mixed-integer nonlinear optimization problem. Finally, we present an application to the case of natural gas, comparing current and efficient export-oriented industrialization strategies of nine gas-rich developing countries.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Olivier Massol & Albert Banal-Estañol, 2014. "Export diversification through resource-based industrialization: The case of natural gas," Post-Print hal-04912927, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04912927
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.02.043
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    Cited by:

    1. Kerstens, Kristiaan & Mazza, Paolo & Ren, Tiantian & Van de Woestyne, Ignace, 2022. "Multi-Time and Multi-Moment Nonparametric Frontier-Based Fund Rating: Proposal and Buy-and-Hold Backtesting Strategy," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Balavac, Merima & Pugh, Geoff, 2016. "The link between trade openness, export diversification, institutions and output volatility in transition countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 273-287.
    3. Gelan, Ayele U. & Salih, Siddig A., 2025. "Beyond black gold: Rethinking fiscal policy for a diversified future in Kuwait's oil-dependent economy," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    4. Olivier Massol & Emmanuel Hache & Albert Banal‐Estañol, 2024. "Trade sanctions and international market integration: Evidence from the sanctions on Iranian methanol exports," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(2), pages 637-663, February.
    5. Massol, Olivier & Rifaat, Omer, 2018. "Phasing out the U.S. Federal Helium Reserve: Policy insights from a world helium model," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 186-211.
    6. Filippo Bontadini & Maria Savona, 2019. "Revisiting the Natural Resource ‘Curse’ in the Context of Trade in Value Added: Enclave or High-development Backward Linkages?," SPRU Working Paper Series 2019-15, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.
    7. Emmanuel Hache & Olivier Massol, 2016. "Sanctions against Iran: An assessment of their global impact through the lens of international methanol prices," Working Papers hal-02475557, HAL.
    8. Ren, Tiantian & Kerstens, Kristiaan & Kumar, Saurav, 2024. "Risk-aversion versus risk-loving preferences in nonparametric frontier-based fund ratings: A buy-and-hold backtesting strategy," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 319(1), pages 332-344.
    9. Hamed Ghoddusi & Franz Wirl, 2019. "A Risk-Hedging View to Refinery Capacity Investment," Working Papers 1327, Economic Research Forum, revised 21 Aug 2019.
    10. Perrotton, Florian & Massol, Olivier, 2020. "Rate-of-return regulation to unlock natural gas pipeline deployment: Insights from a Mozambican project," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    11. Olzhas Shaizandaevich Adilkhanov & Orazaly Sabden, 2020. "Evaluation of export diversification on sustainable growth in Kazakhstan," RIVISTA DI STUDI SULLA SOSTENIBILITA', FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(2), pages 49-63.
    12. Brandouy, Olivier & Kerstens, Kristiaan & Van de Woestyne, Ignace, 2015. "Frontier-based vs. traditional mutual fund ratings: A first backtesting analysis," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 242(1), pages 332-342.
    13. Arowolo, Wale & Perez, Yannick, 2020. "Market reform in the Nigeria power sector: A review of the issues and potential solutions," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).

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