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Un examen critique des liens entre le Traité des probabilités et la Théorie générale de Keynes

Author

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  • Nicolas Piluso

    (CERTOP - Centre d'Etude et de Recherche Travail Organisation Pouvoir - UT2J - Université Toulouse - Jean Jaurès - UT - Université de Toulouse - UT3 - Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier - UT - Université de Toulouse - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, UT3 - Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier - UT - Université de Toulouse)

Abstract

A partir des années 80, certains économistes voient dans le Traité des probabilités de Keynes un élément incontournable de son approche « fondamentaliste » fondée sur l'incertitude. D'après ces derniers, il existe des liens de complémentarité forts entre le Traité des probabilités et la Théorie générale. Pourtant, un tel projet de développement du Traité des probabilités n'a pas abouti, bien qu'on en retrouve des éléments dans le chapitre 12 de la Théorie générale. Nous tentons donc de comprendre d'une part ce qui a motivé la naissance d'un tel point de vue, et d'autre part pourquoi ce projet n'a pas été développé comme l'avaient annoncé certains économistes français. Nous montrons que l'objet d'analyse du Treatise porte sur un type d'incertitude différent de celui de la Théorie générale.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Piluso, 2015. "Un examen critique des liens entre le Traité des probabilités et la Théorie générale de Keynes," Post-Print hal-01399077, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01399077
    DOI: 10.3917/cep.068.0033
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://univ-tlse2.hal.science/hal-01399077
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    References listed on IDEAS

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