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Startup valuation by venture capitalists: an empirical study

Author

Listed:
  • Tarek Miloud

    (INSEEC - INSEEC Alpes-Savoie - INSEEC - Institut des hautes études économiques et commerciales | School of Business and Economics)

  • Arild Aspelund

    (Chercheur indépendant)

  • Mathieu Cabrol

    (IREGE - Institut de Recherche en Gestion et en Economie - USMB [Université de Savoie] [Université de Chambéry] - Université Savoie Mont Blanc)

Abstract

How to value a new venture is critical in entrepreneurial financing. This article develops an integrated theoretical framework to examine whether venture capitalists' valuation of a new venture can be explained by factors identified in the strategy theories as important to firm performance. Empirical results from the analyses of 184 rounds of early-stage venture capital investments in 102 new ventures support the central proposition that venture capitalists do take into consideration those factors that are important to firm performance in their valuation of new ventures. More specifically, this article finds that attractiveness of the industry, the quality of the founder and top management team, as well as external relationships of a new venture significantly and positively affect its valuation by venture capitalists when it seeks venture capital financing in its early stages of development. These empirical findings help to establish an initial linkage between the well-developed theories in strategic management and underresearched venture capital valuation practice. It brings more theoretical rigor to the venture capital investment literature by introducing a systematic approach to identify and measure factors important to new venture valuation. It explores a possibility to develop a supplementary method to value an early-stage new venture when extant valuation methods fail to yield consistent results because these methods require accounting information that a new venture typically cannot provide.

Suggested Citation

  • Tarek Miloud & Arild Aspelund & Mathieu Cabrol, 2012. "Startup valuation by venture capitalists: an empirical study," Post-Print hal-00951664, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-00951664
    DOI: 10.1080/13691066.2012.667907
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-00951664
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Atkinson, Tyler & Duca, John V., 2019. "Venture capital restrained after Sarbanes–Oxley," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 84-87.
    2. James Dominic, 2020. "Decoding Venture Capital Exit Patterns: An Indian Perspective," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(9), pages 956-969, September.
    3. Ruling Zhang & Zengrui Tian & Killian J. McCarthy & Xiao Wang & Kun Zhang, 2023. "Application of machine learning techniques to predict entrepreneurial firm valuation," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 402-417, March.
    4. Shivalik Singh & M H Bala Subrahmanya, 2022. "The financial requirements of tech startups over its lifecycle in Bangalore: An analysis of why and how do they differ?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 4123-4141, October.
    5. Andrea Bellucci & Gianluca Gucciardi & Rossella Locatelli & Cristiana Schena, 2022. "Gender Gap in Business Angel financing," Mo.Fi.R. Working Papers 175, Money and Finance Research group (Mo.Fi.R.) - Univ. Politecnica Marche - Dept. Economic and Social Sciences.
    6. Thanh Huynh, 2016. "Early-stage fundraising of university spin-offs: a study through demand-site perspectives," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 345-367, October.
    7. Andreas Köhn, 2018. "The determinants of startup valuation in the venture capital context: a systematic review and avenues for future research," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 68(1), pages 3-36, February.
    8. Syed Babar Ali & Manzoor A.Khalidi, 2020. "Valuation of Equity Securities, Private Firms, and Startups," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 125-140.
    9. Carolin Bock & Christian Hackober, 2020. "Unicorns—what drives multibillion-dollar valuations?," Business Research, Springer;German Academic Association for Business Research, vol. 13(3), pages 949-984, November.
    10. Kshitija Joshi & Deepak Chandrashekar & Krishna Satyanarayana & Apoorva Srinivas, 2022. "VC Funded Start-Ups in India: Innovation, Social Impact, and the Way Forward," International Journal of Global Business and Competitiveness, Springer, vol. 17(1), pages 104-113, June.
    11. Markus Fitza & Thomas J. Dean, 2016. "How much do VCS and underwriters matter? A comparative investigation of venture capitalist and underwriter effects on IPO underpricing," Venture Capital, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(2), pages 95-114, April.
    12. Syed Babar Ali & Manzoor A.Khalidi, 2020. "Valuation of Equity Securities, Private Firms, and Startups," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 16-19.
    13. Kim, Jongwoo & Kim, Hongil & Geum, Youngjung, 2023. "How to succeed in the market? Predicting startup success using a machine learning approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    14. Tyler Atkinson & John V. Duca, 2017. "Equity Regulation and U.S. Venture Capital Investment," Working Papers 1707, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    15. Dohyeon Kim & Su Yong Lee, 2022. "When venture capitalists are attracted by the experienced," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 1-18, December.
    16. Xinyi Liu & Artit Wangperawong, 2018. "A Collaborative Approach to Angel and Venture Capital Investment Recommendations," Papers 1807.09967, arXiv.org.
    17. Block, Joern H. & De Vries, Geertjan & Schumann, Jan H. & Sandner, Philipp, 2014. "Trademarks and venture capital valuation," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 525-542.
    18. Khanindra Ch. Das, 2023. "What Affects Startup Acquisition in Emerging Economy? Evidence from India," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 22(2), pages 111-134, June.
    19. Donia Trabelsi & Baran Siyahhan, 2021. "Startup cash flows and venture capital investments: A real options approach," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 737-750, April.
    20. Tseng, Hsiao-Ting & Aghaali, Niloofar & Hajli, Dr Nick, 2022. "Customer agility and big data analytics in new product context," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    21. Štefan Slávik & Ráchel Hagarová & Ivana Ljudvigová & Branislav Zagoršek, 2019. "Business model and team as preconditions of a start-up viability," Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, VsI Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Center, vol. 6(3), pages 1404-1427, March.
    22. Elisabeth S.C. Berger & Andreas Köhn, 2020. "Exploring the differences in early-stage start-up valuation across countries: an institutional perspective," International Entrepreneurship and Management Journal, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 327-344, March.
    23. Pavlova, Elitsa & Signore, Simone, 2019. "The European venture capital landscape: an EIF perspective. Volume V: The economic impact of VC investments supported by the EIF," EIF Working Paper Series 2019/55, European Investment Fund (EIF).
    24. Niculaescu, Corina-Elena & Sangiorgi, Ivan & Bell, Adrian R., 2023. "Venture capital financing in the eSports industry," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

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