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Nontraded goods, market segmentation, and exchange rates

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  • Michael Dotsey
  • Margarida Duarte

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that movements in international relative prices (such as the real exchange rate) are large and persistent. Nontraded goods, both in the form of final consumption goods and as an input into the production of final tradable goods, are an important aspect behind international relative price movements. In this paper we show that nontraded goods have important implications for exchange rate behavior, even though fluctuations in the relative price of nontraded goods account for a relatively small fraction of real exchange rate movements. In our quantitative study nontraded goods magnify the volatility of exchange rates when compared to the model without nontraded goods. Cross-country correlations and the correlation of exchange rates with other macro variables are closer in line with the data. In addition, contrary to a large literature, standard alternative assumptions about the currency in which firms price their goods are virtually inconsequential for the properties of aggregate variables in our model, other than the terms of trade.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael Dotsey & Margarida Duarte, 2006. "Nontraded goods, market segmentation, and exchange rates," Working Papers 06-9, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpwp:06-9
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    Cited by:

    1. Dotsey, Michael & Duarte, Margarida, 2008. "Nontraded goods, market segmentation, and exchange rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(6), pages 1129-1142, September.
    2. Laura Povoledo, 2016. "Pricing behaviour and the role of trade openness in the transmission of monetary shocks," Working Papers 20161609, Department of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Bristol Business School, University of the West of England, Bristol.
    3. Michael Dotsey & Margarida Duarte, 2017. "How Important is the Currency Denomination of Exports in Open Economy Models?," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 23, pages 1-18, January.
    4. Kristian Behrens & Yasusada Murata, 2011. "Trade, Competition, and Efficiency (revised version)," Cahiers de recherche 1118, CIRPEE.
    5. Friesenbichler, Klaus & Glocker, Christian, 2017. "Tradability and productivity growth differentials across EU member states," MPRA Paper 83382, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Rabanal, Pau & Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F. & Tuesta, Vicente, 2011. "Cointegrated TFP processes and international business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 156-171, March.
    7. Engel, Charles, 2014. "Exchange Rates and Interest Parity," Handbook of International Economics, Elsevier.
    8. Hnatkovska, Viktoria, 2010. "Home bias and high turnover: Dynamic portfolio choice with incomplete markets," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(1), pages 113-128, January.
    9. Shim, Jae-Hun, 2016. "Monetary Policy in the Small Open Economy with Market Segmentation," Department of Economics Working Papers 58128, University of Bath, Department of Economics.
    10. Akkoyun, Hüseyin Çağrı & Arslan, Yavuz & Kılınç, Mustafa, 2017. "Risk sharing and real exchange rates: The role of non-tradable sector and trend shocks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(PA), pages 232-248.
    11. Mohsin, Mohammed & Park, Kihyun, 2015. "Monetary policy in a two-sector dependent economy," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 118-129.
    12. Gourio, François & Siemer, Michael & Verdelhan, Adrien, 2013. "International risk cycles," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 471-484.
    13. M. Alper Çenesiz & Christian Pierdzioch, 2010. "Financial Market Integration, Costs of Adjusting Hours Worked and Monetary Policy," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 39(1-2), pages 1-25, February.
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    15. Lombardo, Giovanni & Ravenna, Federico, 2014. "Openness and optimal monetary policy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(1), pages 153-172.
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    17. Michael B. Devereux & Viktoria Hnatkovska, 2012. "The extensive margin, sectoral shares, and international business cycles," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 45(2), pages 509-534, May.
    18. Adão, Bernardino & Correia, Isabel, 2013. "Labor immobility and the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in a monetary union," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 28-46.
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    Keywords

    Markets ; Foreign exchange rates;

    JEL classification:

    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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