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Renegotiation Policies in Sovereign Defaults

Author

Listed:
  • Cristina Arellano
  • Yan Bai

Abstract

This paper studies an optimal renegotiation protocol designed by a benevolent planner when two countries renegotiate with the same lender. The solution calls for recoveries that induce each country to default or repay, trading off the deadweight costs and the redistribution benefits of default independently of the other country. This outcome contrasts with a decentralized bargaining solution where default in one country increases the likelihood of default in the second country because recoveries are lower when both countries renegotiate. The paper suggests that policies geared at designing renegotiation processes that treat countries in isolation can prevent contagion of debt crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Cristina Arellano & Yan Bai, 2014. "Renegotiation Policies in Sovereign Defaults," Staff Report 495, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmsr:495
    Note: Forthcoming In: American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pablo D'Erasmo & Enrique G. Mendoza, 2016. "Distributional Incentives In An Equilibrium Model Of Domestic Sovereign Default," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 14(1), pages 7-44, February.
    2. Paolo Angelini & Stefano Neri & Fabio Panetta, 2011. "Monetary and macroprudential policies," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 801, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aloisio Araujo & Marcia Leon & Rafael Santos, 2017. "Bargained haircuts and debt policy implications," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 64(4), pages 635-656, December.
    2. Victor Leão Borges de Almeida & Carlos Esquivel & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Timothy Kehoe, 2018. "Did the 1980s in Latin America Need to Be a Lost Decade?," 2018 Meeting Papers 829, Society for Economic Dynamics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sovereign default; Contagion; Renegotiation policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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