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Are taste and technology parameters stable? a test of "deep" parameter stability in real business cycle models of the U.S. economy

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  • Daniel G. Swaine

Abstract

Lucas (1976) criticized Keynesian models because of parametric instability. For many economists, the "Lucas critique" provided a reason to replace the Keynesian approach with equilibrium models of the business cycle. One example of the equilibrium approach is the Real Business Cycle (RBC) model. However, RBC models have not been subjected to the same scrutiny of tests of parameter instability. We present a prototypical RBC model and subject it to structural change tests. Our results document evidence of extensive parameter instability. Thus, the "Lucas critique" is applicable and we conclude that the single representative agent class of RBC models has an invalid structural form.>

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel G. Swaine, 2001. "Are taste and technology parameters stable? a test of "deep" parameter stability in real business cycle models of the U.S. economy," Working Papers 01-05, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedbwp:01-05
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Daniel G. Swaine, 2008. "Estimating the Speed of Convergence in the Neoclassical Growth Model: An MLE Estimation of Structural Parameters Using the Stochastic Neoclassical Growth Model, Time-Series Data, and the Kalman Filter," Working Papers 0810, College of the Holy Cross, Department of Economics.
    2. Rudebusch, Glenn D, 2005. "Assessing the Lucas Critique in Monetary Policy Models," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(2), pages 245-272, April.

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    Keywords

    Business cycles ; Business forecasting;

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