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Do tobacco taxes reduce lung cancer mortality?

  • José Julián Escario
  • José Alberto Molina

In this paper we have carried out a quantitative evaluation of the effects of special tobacco tax policies on smokers' health. Specifically, the results show that tobacco taxes would appear to be a useful tool for reducing long cancer mortality related to tobacco consumption. Thus, a 10% increase in tax will reduce tobacco consumption by 3.8% in the first year, which will give rise to a 1.12% reduction in the lung cancer mortality rate, a reduction which, in the long term, will be in the order of 8.81%. For the twelve European Union countries being considered, this means that 1,707 deaths will be avoided in the first year, 4,491 in the fifth year and 12,366 after the smoking population has been completely renewed.

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Paper provided by FEDEA in its series Working Papers with number 2000-17.

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Handle: RePEc:fda:fdaddt:2000-17
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  1. Michael J. Moore, 1996. "Death and Tobacco Taxes," RAND Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 27(2), pages 415-248, Summer.
  2. Eugene M. Lewit & Douglas Coate, 1981. "The Potential for Using Excise Taxes to Reduce Smoking," NBER Working Papers 0764, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Wasserman, Jeffrey & Manning, Willard G. & Newhouse, Joseph P. & Winkler, John D., 1991. "The effects of excise taxes and regulations on cigarette smoking," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 10(1), pages 43-64, May.
  4. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July.
  5. Chamberlain, Gary, 1982. "The General Equivalence of Granger and Sims Causality," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(3), pages 569-81, May.
  6. Frank J. Chaloupka, 1990. "Rational Addictive Behavior and Cigarette Smoking," NBER Working Papers 3268, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Philip J. Cook & George Tauchen, 1982. "The Effect of Liquor Taxes on Heavy Drinking," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 13(2), pages 379-390, Autumn.
  8. Sims, Christopher A, 1972. "Money, Income, and Causality," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 62(4), pages 540-52, September.
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