IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/eti/dpaper/24071.html

How Oil Prices Impact the Taiwanese Economy: Evidence from the stock market

Author

Listed:
  • Willem THORBECKE

Abstract

Oil prices are volatile. How do oil prices affect Taiwanese industries? This paper investigates how oil price increases driven by shocks to global aggregate demand and to oil supply affect Taiwanese sectoral stock returns. It uses Hamilton’s (2014) approach to divide oil price changes into portions driven by demand and supply factors. The results indicate that the semiconductor sector and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) are harmed by oil price increases. Since oil prices are often high and quick to change, these findings imply that TSMC should expedite its goal of switching from depending on fossil fuels to utilizing renewable energy.

Suggested Citation

  • Willem THORBECKE, 2024. "How Oil Prices Impact the Taiwanese Economy: Evidence from the stock market," Discussion papers 24071, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    • Handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:24071
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/dp/24e071.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lutz Kilian & Cheolbeom Park, 2009. "The Impact Of Oil Price Shocks On The U.S. Stock Market," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1267-1287, November.
    2. Demirer, Rıza & Ferrer, Román & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Oil price shocks, global financial markets and their connectedness," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. repec:aen:journl:ej34-2-07 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Golub, Stephen S, 1983. "Oil Prices and Exchange Rates," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 93(371), pages 576-593, September.
    5. James D. Hamilton, 2021. "Measuring global economic activity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 36(3), pages 293-303, April.
    6. Chen, Nai-Fu & Roll, Richard & Ross, Stephen A, 1986. "Economic Forces and the Stock Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 59(3), pages 383-403, July.
    7. Ito, Takatoshi & Koibuchi, Satoshi & Sato, Kiyotaka & Shimizu, Junko, 2016. "Exchange rate exposure and risk management: The case of Japanese exporting firms," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 17-29.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Willem Thorbecke, 2025. "How Oil Prices Impact the Japanese and South Korean Economies: Evidence from the Stock Market and Implications for Energy Security," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-28, May.
    2. Willem THORBECKE, 2024. "How Oil Prices Impact the Indonesian and South Korean Economies: Evidence from the stock market," Discussion papers 24070, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    3. Willem THORBECKE, 2024. "How Oil Prices Impact the Japanese and South Korean Economies: Evidence from the stock market and implications for renewable energy," Discussion papers 24065, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    4. Lu, Xinjie & Ma, Feng & Wang, Jiqian & Zhu, Bo, 2021. "Oil shocks and stock market volatility: New evidence," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    5. Hwang, Inwook & Kim, Jaebeom, 2021. "Oil price shocks and the US stock market: A nonlinear approach," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 23-36.
    6. Nini Johana Marín-Rodríguez & Juan David González-Ruiz & Sergio Botero Botero, 2022. "Dynamic Co-Movements among Oil Prices and Financial Assets: A Scientometric Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-26, October.
    7. Zhang, Zhikai & Wang, Yudong & Xiao, Jihong & Zhang, Yaojie, 2023. "Not all geopolitical shocks are alike: Identifying price dynamics in the crude oil market under tensions," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    8. Jammazi, Rania, 2012. "Oil shock transmission to stock market returns: Wavelet-multivariate Markov switching GARCH approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 430-454.
    9. Wu, Shue-Jen, 2023. "The role of the past long-run oil price changes in stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 274-291.
    10. Nazlıoğlu, Elif Hilal & Kök, Dündar & Soytaş, Uğur, 2025. "Energy prices and stock markets: Does energy supply security matter?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    11. Hanif, Waqas & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Kang, Sang Hoon & Boako, Gideon & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2024. "Interdependence and spillovers between big oil companies and regional and global energy equity markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 451-469.
    12. Basher, Syed Abul & Haug, Alfred A. & Sadorsky, Perry, 2012. "Oil prices, exchange rates and emerging stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(1), pages 227-240.
    13. Kumeka, Terver Theophilus & Uzoma-Nwosu, Damian Chidozie & David-Wayas, Maria Onyinye, 2022. "The effects of COVID-19 on the interrelationship among oil prices, stock prices and exchange rates in selected oil exporting economies," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    14. Medovikov, Ivan, 2016. "When does the stock market listen to economic news? New evidence from copulas and news wires," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 27-40.
    15. Swaray, Raymond & Salisu, Afees A., 2018. "A firm-level analysis of the upstream-downstream dichotomy in the oil-stock nexus," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 199-218.
    16. Kang, Wensheng & Ratti, Ronald A. & Yoon, Kyung Hwan, 2014. "The impact of oil price shocks on U.S. bond market returns," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 248-258.
    17. George Filis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou, 2014. "Financial and monetary policy responses to oil price shocks: evidence from oil-importing and oil-exporting countries," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 709-729, May.
    18. Zheng, Yan & Zhou, Min & Wen, Fenghua, 2021. "Asymmetric effects of oil shocks on carbon allowance price: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    19. Sevillano, María Caridad & Jareño, Francisco & López, Raquel & Esparcia, Carlos, 2024. "Connectedness between oil price shocks and US sector returns: Evidence from TVP-VAR and wavelet decomposition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    20. Marcel Fratzscher & Daniel Schneider & Ine Van Robays, 2013. "Oil Prices, Exchange Rates and Asset Prices," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1302, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:24071. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: TANIMOTO, Toko (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rietijp.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.