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Hearing the Voice of the Future: Trump vs Clinton

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  • NARITA Yusuke

Abstract

Many countries face growing concerns that population aging may make voting and policy-making myopic. This concern begs for electoral reform to better reflect voices of the youth, such as weighting votes by voters' life expectancy. This paper predicts the effect of the counterfactual electoral reform on the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Using the American National Election Studies (ANES) data, I find that Hillary Clinton would have won the election if votes were weighted by life expectancy. I also discuss limitations due to data issues.

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  • NARITA Yusuke, 2019. "Hearing the Voice of the Future: Trump vs Clinton," Discussion papers 19025, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
  • Handle: RePEc:eti:dpaper:19025
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    File URL: https://www.rieti.go.jp/jp/publications/dp/19e025.pdf
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    1. Brady T. West & Patricia Berglund & Steven G. Heeringa, 2008. "A closer examination of subpopulation analysis of complex-sample survey data," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 8(4), pages 520-531, December.
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