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Estimação da demanda por ônibus na América Latina e no Caribe

Author

Listed:
  • Biderman, Ciro
  • Castro, Caio
  • Galante de Souza, Vinicius
  • Luz, Gregório
  • Oliveira, Vitor
  • Pizzol, Bruna

Abstract

As dinâmicas de crescimento populacional e de ocupação do espaço trazem enormes desafios para o transporte urbano na América Latina e no Caribe. A falta de planejamento das cidades, atrelado às altas taxas de pobreza e de desigualdade socioeconômica, implica a necessidade de grandes deslocamentos para as populações mais carentes. Este relatório apresenta um modelo de estimação da demanda por ônibus, micro-ônibus e similares nos países e entes subnacionais da América Latina e do Caribe, com cenários para 2025 e 2030. Os resultados indicam continuidade do crescimento da frota, próximo aos 6% anuais, o que posicionaria a região como um mercado atraente para o setor de mobilidade urbana coletiva.

Suggested Citation

  • Biderman, Ciro & Castro, Caio & Galante de Souza, Vinicius & Luz, Gregório & Oliveira, Vitor & Pizzol, Bruna, 2023. "Estimação da demanda por ônibus na América Latina e no Caribe," Documentos de Proyectos 48698, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col022:48698
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Patricia Yañez-Pagans & Daniel Martinez & Oscar A. Mitnik & Lynn Scholl & Antonia Vazquez, 2019. "Urban transport systems in Latin America and the Caribbean: lessons and challenges," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 28(1), pages 1-25, December.
    2. Wong, Yale Z. & Hensher, David A., 2018. "The Thredbo story: A journey of competition and ownership in land passenger transport," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 9-22.
    3. Antonio Estache & A. Gomez-Lobo, 2005. "The limits of competition in urban buses in developing countries," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/43971, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    4. repec:aen:journl:1992v13-01-a07 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Charles Fox & Marianne Fay & Luis Alberto Andres & Stephane Straub & Michael Slawson & Ulf Narloch, 2017. "Rethinking Infrastructure in Latin America and the Caribbean," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 27615, April.
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