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Estimação da demanda por ônibus na América Latina e no Caribe

Author

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  • Biderman, Ciro
  • Castro, Caio
  • Galante de Souza, Vinicius
  • Luz, Gregório
  • Oliveira, Vitor
  • Pizzol, Bruna

Abstract

As dinâmicas de crescimento populacional e de ocupação do espaço trazem enormes desafios para o transporte urbano na América Latina e no Caribe. A falta de planejamento das cidades, atrelado às altas taxas de pobreza e de desigualdade socioeconômica, implica a necessidade de grandes deslocamentos para as populações mais carentes. Este relatório apresenta um modelo de estimação da demanda por ônibus, micro-ônibus e similares nos países e entes subnacionais da América Latina e do Caribe, com cenários para 2025 e 2030. Os resultados indicam continuidade do crescimento da frota, próximo aos 6% anuais, o que posicionaria a região como um mercado atraente para o setor de mobilidade urbana coletiva.

Suggested Citation

  • Biderman, Ciro & Castro, Caio & Galante de Souza, Vinicius & Luz, Gregório & Oliveira, Vitor & Pizzol, Bruna, 2023. "Estimação da demanda por ônibus na América Latina e no Caribe," Documentos de Proyectos 48698, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col022:48698
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    References listed on IDEAS

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