IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecl/ohidic/2012-14.html

Long Run Productivity Risk and Aggregate Investment

Author

Listed:
  • Favilukis, Jack

    (London School of Economics and Political Science)

  • Lin, Xiaoji

    (OH State University)

Abstract

We study the implications of long-run risk type shocks--shocks to the growth rate of productivity--for aggregate investment in a DSGE model. Our model offers an alternative to microfrictions explanation of aggregate investment non-linearities, in particular the heteroscedasticity of investment rate. Additionally, consistent with the data, these shocks imply that investment rate is history dependent (rising through an expansion), investment rate growth is positively autocorrelated, and is positively correlated with output growth at various leads and lags. A standard model with shocks to the level of productivity either predicts the opposite or fails to quantitatively capture these features in the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Favilukis, Jack & Lin, Xiaoji, 2012. "Long Run Productivity Risk and Aggregate Investment," Working Paper Series 2012-14, Ohio State University, Charles A. Dice Center for Research in Financial Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecl:ohidic:2012-14
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2122940
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Herskovic, Bernard & Kind, Thilo & Kung, Howard, 2023. "Micro uncertainty and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(1), pages 27-51.
    2. Thien Nguyen & Steve Raymond & Lukas Schmid & Mariano Croce, 2016. "Government Debt and the Returns to Innovation," 2016 Meeting Papers 1443, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Ready, Robert C., 2018. "Oil consumption, economic growth, and oil futures: The impact of long-run oil supply uncertainty on asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 1-26.
    4. Mahdi Nezafat & Ctirad Slavik, 2021. "Asset Prices and Business Cycles with Liquidity Shocks," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp711, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
    5. Ram Yamarthy & Amir Yaron & Joao Gomes, 2015. "Carlstrom and Fuerst meets Epstein and Zin: The Asset Pricing Implications of Contracting Frictions," 2015 Meeting Papers 1267, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    6. Ric Colacito & Max Croce & Steven Ho & Philip Howard, 2018. "BKK the EZ Way: International Long-Run Growth News and Capital Flows," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(11), pages 3416-3449, November.
    7. Yunmin Chen & YiLi Chien & Michael T. Owyang, 2015. "Individual and Aggregate Constrained Efficient Intertemporal Wedges in Dynamic Mirrleesian Economies," Working Papers 2015-43, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    8. Weimin Liu & Di Luo & Seyoung Park & Huainan Zhao, 2022. "The cross‐sectional return predictability of employment growth: A liquidity risk explanation," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 155-178, February.
    9. Segal, Gill, 2019. "A tale of two volatilities: Sectoral uncertainty, growth, and asset prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 110-140.
    10. Bo Liu & Lei Lu & Congming Mu & Jinqiang Yang, 2021. "Heterogeneous preferences, investment, and asset pricing," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(4), pages 1169-1193, December.
    11. Giordano, Claire & Giugliano, Ferdinando, 2015. "A tale of two Fascisms: Labour productivity growth and competition policy in Italy, 1911–1951," Explorations in Economic History, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 25-38.
    12. Aubhik Khan & Julia Thomas & Tatsuro Senga, 2018. "The Persistent Effects of Entry and Exit," 2018 Meeting Papers 707, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    13. Wang, Zhen & Subramanian, Nachiappan & Gunasekaran, Angappa & Abdulrahman, Muhammad D. & Liu, Chang, 2015. "Composite sustainable manufacturing practice and performance framework: Chinese auto-parts suppliers׳ perspective," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(PA), pages 219-233.
    14. Francesco Bianchi & Howard Kung & Mikhail Tirskikh, 2023. "The origins and effects of macroeconomic uncertainty," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(3), pages 855-896, July.
    15. Yang, Daecheon & Song, Jeongseok, 2018. "Impact of wage rigidity on sovereign credit rating," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 25-41.
    16. Coelho, B. & Andrade-Campos, A., 2014. "Efficiency achievement in water supply systems—A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 59-84.
    17. Aubhik Khan & Julia Thomas & Tatsuro Senga, 2019. "Business Formation and Economic Growth Beyond the Great Recession," 2019 Meeting Papers 1453, Society for Economic Dynamics.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecl:ohidic:2012-14. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cdohsus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.