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The effect of G20 summits on global financial markets

Listed author(s):
  • Stracca, Livio
  • Lo Duca, Marco

In the wake of the global financial crisis, the G20 has become the most important forum of global governance and cooperation, largely replacing the once powerful G7. In this paper we run an event study to test whether G20 meetings at ministerial and Leaders level have had an impact on global financial markets. We focus on the period from 2007 to 2013, looking at equity returns, bond yields and measures of market risk such as implied volatility, skewness and kurtosis. Our main finding is that G20 summits have not had a strong, consistent and durable effect on any of the markets that we consider, suggesting that the information and decision content of G20 summits is of limited relevance for market participants. JEL Classification: G14, G15, F53

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Paper provided by European Central Bank in its series Working Paper Series with number 1668.

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Date of creation: Apr 2014
Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20141668
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  1. Alan S. Blinder & Michael Ehrmann & Marcel Fratzscher & Jakob De Haan & David-Jan Jansen, 2008. "Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy: A Survey of Theory and Evidence," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 46(4), pages 910-945, December.
  2. John Kirton, 2006. "Explaining Compliance with G8 Finance Commitments: Agency, Institutionalization and Structure," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 459-475, December.
  3. Fratzscher, Marcel, 2009. "How successful is the G7 in managing exchange rates?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 78-88, September.
  4. Malika Pant & Yanliang Miao, 2012. "Coincident Indicators of Capital Flows," IMF Working Papers 12/55, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Edwin M. Truman, 2011. "G-20 Reforms of the International Monetary System: An Evaluation," Policy Briefs PB11-19, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
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  7. John C. Driscoll & Aart C. Kraay, 1998. "Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation With Spatially Dependent Panel Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 80(4), pages 549-560, November.
  8. Joseph P. Daniels, 2004. "The Significance of the Economic Summits," Working Papers and Research 0404, Marquette University, Center for Global and Economic Studies and Department of Economics.
  9. repec:pri:cepsud:161blinder is not listed on IDEAS
  10. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
  11. Mina Baliamoune, 2000. "Economics of Summitry: An Empirical Assessment of the Economic Effects of Summits," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 295-319, September.
  12. Jonathan David Ostry & Atish R. Ghosh, 2013. "Obstacles to International Policy Coordination, and How to Overcome Them," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 13/11, International Monetary Fund.
  13. Dieter Smeets & Marco Zimmermann, 2013. "Did the EU Summits Succeed in Convincing the Markets during the Recent Crisis?," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 51(6), pages 1158-1177, November.
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