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Mortality in varying environment

  • Maxim S. Finkelstein

    (Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany)

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    An impact of environment on mortality, similar to survival analysis, is often modeled by the proportional hazards model, which assumes the corresponding comparison with a baseline environment. This model describes the memory-less property, when the mortality rate at a given instant of time depends only on the environment at this in-stant of time and does not depend on the history. In the presence of degradation the assumption of this kind is usually unrealistic and history-dependent models should be considered. The simplest stochastic degradation model is the accelerated life model. We discuss these models for the cohort setting and apply the developed approach to the period setting for the case when environment (stress) is modeled by the functions with switching points (jumps in the level of the stress).

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    File URL: http://www.demogr.mpg.de/papers/working/wp-2004-029.pdf
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    Paper provided by Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany in its series MPIDR Working Papers with number WP-2004-029.

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    Length: 14 pages
    Date of creation: Dec 2004
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:dem:wpaper:wp-2004-029
    Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.demogr.mpg.de/

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    1. John Bongaarts & Griffith Feeney, 2002. "How Long Do We Live?," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 28(1), pages 13-29.
    2. James Vaupel & Anatoli Yashin, 1987. "Repeated resuscitation: How lifesaving alters life tables," Demography, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 123-135, February.
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