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Temporal Dependence in Limited Dependent Variable Models: Theoretical and Monte-Carlo Results

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the consistency properties of classical estimators for limited dependent variables models, under conditions of serial correlation in the unobservables. A unified method of proof is used to show that for certain cases (e.g., Probit, Tobit and Normal Switching Regimes models, which are normality-based) estimators that neglect particular types of serial dependence (specifically, corresponding to the class of "mixing" processes) are still consistent. The same line of proof fails for the analogues to the above models that impose logistic distributional assumptions, thus indicating that normality plays a special role in these problems. Sets of Monte-Carlo experiments are then carried out to investigate these theoretical results.

Suggested Citation

  • Vassilis A. Hajivassiliou, 1986. "Temporal Dependence in Limited Dependent Variable Models: Theoretical and Monte-Carlo Results," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 803, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
  • Handle: RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:803
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    File URL: https://cowles.yale.edu/sites/default/files/files/pub/d08/d0803.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Avery, Robert B & Hansen, Lars Peter & Hotz, V Joseph, 1983. "Multiperiod Probit Models and Orthogonality Condition Estimation," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 24(1), pages 21-35, February.
    2. Butler, J S & Moffitt, Robert, 1982. "A Computationally Efficient Quadrature Procedure for the One-Factor Multinomial Probit Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(3), pages 761-764, May.
    3. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
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    5. White, Halbert & Domowitz, Ian, 1984. "Nonlinear Regression with Dependent Observations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(1), pages 143-161, January.
    6. Lee, Lung-Fei, 1984. "The likelihood function and a test for serial correlation in a disequilibrium market model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 14(2-3), pages 195-200.
    7. Olsen, Randall J, 1978. "Note on the Uniqueness of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Tobit Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(5), pages 1211-1215, September.
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    1. Hajivassiliou, V A, 1994. "A Simulation Estimation Analysis of the External Debt Crises of Developing Countries," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(2), pages 109-131, April-Jun.

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