IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cuf/wpaper/640.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Money, Growth, and Welfare in a Schumpeterian Model with Automation

Author

Listed:
  • Qichun He

    (China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics)

  • Xin Yang

    (China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics)

  • Heng-fu Zou

    (China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics)

Abstract

This paper explores the growth and welfare ects of monetary policy in a Schumpeterian vertical innovation model with automation. Money is introduced into the model via the cash-in-advance (CIA) constraints on consumption, production, automation and vertical innovation. We find that the relative strength of the cash constraints on automation and vertical innovations is crucial. If the CIA constraint is stronger (weaker) for automation, a higher nominal interest rate will lead to an increase (a decrease) in the amount of high-skilled labor allocated to vertical innovation. As a result, the automation level will decline (rise), but the vertical innovation and thereby aggregate economic growth will be faster (slower). We calibrate the model to the US economy and find a stronger cash constraint on automation. Our quantitative analysis shows that rising nominal interest rates are detrimental to automation but favorable to growth. In addition, higher nominal interest rates improve the welfare of dierent households and the aggregate welfare. As an empirical test, we find a signifficant, negative effect of the nominal interest rate on automation using cross-country panel data, consistent with our model prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Qichun He & Xin Yang & Heng-fu Zou, 2024. "Money, Growth, and Welfare in a Schumpeterian Model with Automation," CEMA Working Papers 640, China Economics and Management Academy, Central University of Finance and Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:cuf:wpaper:640
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://down.aefweb.net/WorkingPapers/w640.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Joseph Zeira, 1998. "Workers, Machines, and Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(4), pages 1091-1117.
    2. Qichun He & Yulei Luo & Jun Nie & Heng-fu Zou, 2023. "Money, Growth, and Welfare in a Schumpeterian Model with the Spirit of Capitalism," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 346-372, January.
    3. Angus C. Chu & Guido Cozzi & Haichao Fang & Yuichi Furukawa & Chih-Hsing Liao, 2019. "Innovation and Inequality in a Monetary Schumpeterian Model with Heterogeneous Households and Firms," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 34, pages 141-164, October.
    4. Angus C. Chu & Ching‐Chong Lai & Chih‐Hsing Liao, 2019. "A Tale of Two Growth Engines: Interactive Effects of Monetary Policy and Intellectual Property Rights," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 51(7), pages 2029-2052, October.
    5. Norrbin, Stefan C, 1993. "The Relation between Price and Marginal Cost in U.S. Industry: A Contradiction," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(6), pages 1149-1164, December.
    6. Jones, Charles I & Williams, John C, 2000. "Too Much of a Good Thing? The Economics of Investment in R&D," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 65-85, March.
    7. Marquis, Milton H & Reffett, Kevin L, 1994. "New Technology Spillovers into the Payment System," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 104(426), pages 1123-1138, September.
    8. Qichun He & Yulei Luo & Jun Nie & Heng-fu Zou, 2023. "Money, Growth, and Welfare in a Schumpeterian Model with the Spirit of Capitalism," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 47, pages 346-372, January.
    9. Berg, Andrew & Buffie, Edward F. & Zanna, Luis-Felipe, 2018. "Should we fear the robot revolution? (The correct answer is yes)," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 117-148.
    10. Daron Acemoglu & Pascual Restrepo, 2018. "The Race between Man and Machine: Implications of Technology for Growth, Factor Shares, and Employment," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(6), pages 1488-1542, June.
    11. Susanto Basu, 1996. "Procyclical Productivity: Increasing Returns or Cyclical Utilization?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 111(3), pages 719-751.
    12. Lucas, Robert E, Jr, 1980. "Equilibrium in a Pure Currency Economy," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 18(2), pages 203-220, April.
    13. Prettner, Klaus & Strulik, Holger, 2020. "Innovation, automation, and inequality: Policy challenges in the race against the machine," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 249-265.
    14. Chien‐Yu Huang & Youchang Wu & Yibai Yang & Zhijie Zheng, 2023. "Monetary Policy in a Schumpeterian Growth Model with Vertical R&D Sectors," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(6), pages 1569-1607, September.
    15. Oscar Afonso & Rosa Forte, 2023. "How powerful are fiscal and monetary policies in a directed technical change model with humans and robots?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3008-3032, July.
    16. Angus C. Chu & Guido Cozzi & Haichao Fang & Yuichi Furukawa & Chih-Hsing Liao, 2019. "Innovation and Inequality in a Monetary Schumpeterian Model with Heterogeneous Households and Firms," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 34, pages 141-164, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. He, Qichun, 2023. "The inverted-U effect of inflation on growth: Cross-country evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    2. Angus C. Chu, 2022. "Inflation, innovation, and growth: A survey," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 863-878, July.
    3. He, Qichun & Wang, Xilin, 2024. "Endogenous human capital and market structure in a monetary Schumpeterian model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    4. Ohki, Kazuyoshi, 2023. "Disruptive innovation by heterogeneous incumbents and economic growth: When do incumbents switch to new technology?," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    5. Song, Wei & Yang, Yibai, 2024. "Monetary policy in a Schumpeterian economy with endogenous fertility and human capital accumulation," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    6. Ohki, Kazuyoshi, 2025. "Incremental Innovation by Heterogeneous Incumbents and Economic Growth: relationship between two sources of growth," MPRA Paper 124304, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Dinopoulos, Elias & Grieben, Wolf-Heimo & Şener, Fuat, 2023. "A Policy Conundrum: Schumpeterian Growth or Job Creation?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    8. Angus C. Chu & Guido Cozzi & Yuichi Furukawa & Chih-Hsing Liao, 2019. "Effects of Minimum Wage on Automation and Innovation in a Schumpeterian Economy," Working Papers 201912, University of Liverpool, Department of Economics.
    9. Guimarães, Luís & Mazeda Gil, Pedro, 2022. "Explaining the Labor Share: Automation Vs Labor Market Institutions," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    10. Guimarães, Luís & Mazeda Gil, Pedro, 2022. "Looking ahead at the effects of automation in an economy with matching frictions," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    11. Nikolaos Charalampidis, 2024. "Frictions and the diffusion of automation," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 92(2), pages 148-170, March.
    12. Oscar Afonso & Rosa Forte, 2023. "How powerful are fiscal and monetary policies in a directed technical change model with humans and robots?," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(3), pages 3008-3032, July.
    13. Lu, You-Xun & Chen, Shi-kuan & Lai, Ching-chong, 2022. "Monetary Policy and Economic Growth in a Schumpeterian Model with Incumbents and Entrants," MPRA Paper 112177, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Daiki Maeda & Yuki Saito, 2020. "Effects of Monetary Policy in a Model with Cash-in-Advance Constraints on R&D and Capital Accumulation," ISER Discussion Paper 1076rr, Institute of Social and Economic Research, The University of Osaka, revised Jan 2025.
    15. Kenichiro Ikeshita & Hideaki Uchida & Tamotsu Nakamura, 2023. "Automation and economic growth in a task‐based neoclassical growth model," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(4), pages 908-927, November.
    16. Hideki Nakamura & Joseph Zeira, 2024. "Automation and unemployment: help is on the way," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 215-250, June.
    17. Hu, Ruiyang & Wang, Jian & Yang, Yibai & Zheng, Zhijie, 2024. "Inflation and income inequality in an open-economy growth model with liquidity constraints on R&D," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    18. Shohei Momoda & Takayuki Ogawa & Ryosuke Shimizu, 2024. "Automation and Growth Patterns in an Open Economy," KIER Working Papers 1109, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    19. Lu, You-Xun, 2022. "Interactive effects of monetary policy and patent protection: The role of endogenous innovation size," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    20. Diego Comin, 2004. "R&D: A Small Contribution to Productivity Growth," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 391-421, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; Automation; Cash-in-advance; Schumpeterian model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O42 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Monetary Growth Models
    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cuf:wpaper:640. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Qiang Gao (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/emcufcn.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.