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Soutenabilité forte, rente et partage de la valeur ajoutée

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-François FAGNART

    (Facultés Universitaires Saint Louis, CEREC and UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES)²)

  • Marc GERMAIN

    (Université de Lille 3, EQUIPPE and UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES))

  • Alphonse MAGNUS

    (UNIVERSITE CATHOLIQUE DE LOUVAIN, IRMP)

Abstract

Dans un modèle de croissance endogène reposant sur le concept de soutenabilité forte et intégrant une ressource de matière (naturellement recyclable) dont la productivité marginale est bornée, cet article reconsidère la "conjecture de Ricardo", à savoir l'éventualité d'une hausse tendancielle de la part de la rente dans la valeur ajoutée au cours du temps. Dans l'économie du modèle, une croissance quantitative (en termes du nombre de biens) ne peut être que transitoire et seule une croissance qualitative (en termes de qualité des biens) peut subsister à long terme. Nous étudions l'impact de la rareté de la ressource sur les caractéristiques du sentier de croissance stationnaire, sur le niveau de la rente et le partage de la valeur ajoutée le long de celui-ci. La part stationnaire de la rente dans la valeur ajoutée est une fonction décroissante de l'abondance de la ressource et du potentiel de dématérialisation des productions. De plus, la rareté de la ressource oppose généralement le facteur travail aux deux autres (ressource et capital), une ressource moins abondante (en termes relatifs) impliquant une part plus faibledu travail dans la valeur ajoutée et une part plus élevée de chacun des deux autres facteurs. Nous analysons ensuite numériquement la dynamique transitoire de l'économie, partant d'un état initial caractérisé par un faible stock de capital, un potentiel de progrès technique important. Même si la part de la rente dans la valeur ajoutée peut initialement évoluer de façon non monotone, les simulations tendent à montrer que la "conjecture de Ricardo" se confirme tôt ou tard le long de la dynamique transitoire: le ralentissement de la croissance quantitative s'accompagne d'une hausse de la part de la rente dans la valeur ajoutée jusqu'à sa valeur stationnaire. La tendance historique d'une baisse de la part de la rente pourrait donc s'inverser dans le futur, dès lors que les processus de découvertes de nouvelles réserves et de dématérialisation de la production sont limitées.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-François FAGNART & Marc GERMAIN & Alphonse MAGNUS, 2013. "Soutenabilité forte, rente et partage de la valeur ajoutée," LIDAM Discussion Papers IRES 2013021, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES).
    • Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvir:2013021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    croissance endogène; soutenabilité forte; rente; partage fonctionnel de la valeur ajoutée;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E25 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Aggregate Factor Income Distribution
    • D9 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • O44 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Environment and Growth
    • Q0 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

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