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Estimates of Real Economic Activity in Switzerland, 1885-1930

  • Gerlach, Stefan
  • Gerlach-Kristen, Petra

This Paper uses annual data spanning 1870 to 1930 on a set of variables correlated with business conditions to construct an index of real economic activity in Switzerland. We extract an estimate of the common component of the data series using principal components analysis and the unobservable variables approach proposed by Stock and Watson (1989, 1991). The resulting index is similar to, but displays more variation over time than, that constructed by Andrist, Anderson and Williams (2000).

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 3427.

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Date of creation: Jun 2002
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:3427
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  1. James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1989. "New Indexes of Coincident and Leading Economic Indicators," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1989, Volume 4, pages 351-409 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Bergman, U. Michael & Bordo, Michael D. & Jonung, Lars, 1998. "Historical Evidence on Business Cycles: The International Experience," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 255, Stockholm School of Economics.
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