IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/col/000124/012501.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Evaluación de la contribución económica del sector de hidrocarburos colombiano frente a diversos escenarios de producción

Author

Listed:
  • Leonardo Villar

    ()

  • Felipe Castro

    ()

  • David Forero

    ()

  • Juan Mauricio Ramírez

    ()

Abstract

En Colombia, el sector de hidrocarburos ha mostrado un crecimiento importante en los últimos años convirtiéndose en una actividad determinante para la economía nacional. Este documento cuantifica la contribución económica del sector en los últimos diez años y realiza un análisis prospectivo de su impacto a partir de diferentes escenarios de producción de petróleo y gas. Los efectos macroeconómicos del sector de hidrocarburos se estiman utilizando el Modelo de Equilibrio General Computable de Fedesarrollo. Además se realiza un análisis de los impactos del sector en términos de encadenamientos productivos y la distribución de regalías. Por último, el documento plantea una serie de recomendaciones de política orientadas a fortalecer el sector y mitigar los efectos ante una eventual caida en la producción.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Villar & Felipe Castro & David Forero & Juan Mauricio Ramírez, 2014. "Evaluación de la contribución económica del sector de hidrocarburos colombiano frente a diversos escenarios de producción," Informes de Investigación 012501, Fedesarrollo.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000124:012501
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11445/1688
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mauricio Olivera & Luis Alberto Zuleta & Tatiana L. Aguilar & Andrés F. Osorio, 2011. "Impacto del sector de servicios petroleros en la economía Colombiana," Cuadernos de Fedesarrollo 009269, Fedesarrollo.
    2. Enrique López & Enrique Montes & Aarón Garavito & María Mercedes Collazos, 2012. "La economía petrolera en Colombia Marco legal - contractual y sus principales efectos sobre la actividad económica del país (parte I)," Borradores de Economia 692, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. James L. Smith, 2009. "World Oil: Market or Mayhem?," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 23(3), pages 145-164, Summer.
    4. Robert K. Kaufmann, Stephane Dees, Pavlos Karadeloglou and Marcelo Sanchez, 2004. "Does OPEC Matter? An Econometric Analysis of Oil Prices," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 67-90.
    5. James D. Hamilton, 2011. "Historical Oil Shocks," NBER Working Papers 16790, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Jan Bentzen, 2007. "Does OPEC influence crude oil prices? Testing for co-movements and causality between regional crude oil prices," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(11), pages 1375-1385.
    7. López, Enrique & Montes, Enrique & Garavito-Acosta, Aarón Levi & Collazos-Gaitán, María Mercedes, 2013. "La economía petrolera en Colombia," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.),Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 9, pages 337-406, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    8. Norberto Rojas & David Forero, 2011. "Bonanza petrolera: ¿cómo aprovecharla?," Informes de Investigación 010253, Fedesarrollo.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Juan Mauricio Ramírez & Juan Guillermo Bedoya, 2014. "Regalías directas por hidrocarburos y esfuerzo fiscal municipal en Colombia," Coyuntura Económica, Fedesarrollo, December.
    2. Karelys Guzmán-Finol & Ana María Estrada-Jabela, 2016. "Los gobiernos departamentales y la inversión de regalías en Colombia: Un análisis descriptivo, 2012 - 2015," Revista Economía y Región, Universidad Tecnológica de Bolívar, vol. 10(1), pages 119-163, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hidrocarburos; Modelos de Equilibrio General Computable; Encadenamientos Productivos; RegalíasColombia;

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • L71 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction - - - Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:col:000124:012501. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Lucía Fenney Pérez). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.