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Him Too? Analyzing the Effects of Epstein Connections

Author

Listed:
  • Marina Gertsberg
  • Michaela Pagel
  • Ekaterina Volkova
  • Valeria Volkova

Abstract

The Epstein files, released between September 2025 and January 2026, offer an unprecedented window into the social and professional network of a convicted sex offender whose ties extended deep into corporate America. We construct a comprehensive sample of all S&P 500 CEOs and board members serving between 2006 and 2026 - 52,266 unique individuals - and search the 1,293,753 text-bearing documents for evidence of their contact with Jeffrey Epstein. Using large language model (LLM) classification of 117,394 matched correspondences, we identify 67,637 that indicate direct contact with 1,179 S&P 500 CEOs or directors. We then document three main findings. First, firms whose CEOs or board members appeared in Epstein-related news coverage experienced significantly negative cumulative abnormal returns of up to -3.7% over a three-day window following the January 30, 2026 DOJ release. Second, adding Epstein-mediated ties to the firm network increases overall density and reduces average path lengths significantly, meaning that Epstein effectively wired corporate America into a denser, more tightly interconnected governance network than would have existed otherwise. Third, we show that Epstein's network transmitted norm contagion through shared board connections. Firms with more Epstein-connected CEOs or directors exhibit significantly worse ESG outcomes: each additional connection is associated with approximately 2.3 more annual governance incidents and 4.0 more total incidents.

Suggested Citation

  • Marina Gertsberg & Michaela Pagel & Ekaterina Volkova & Valeria Volkova, 2026. "Him Too? Analyzing the Effects of Epstein Connections," CESifo Working Paper Series 12580, CESifo.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_12580
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G34 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination
    • K38 - Law and Economics - - Other Substantive Areas of Law - - - Human Rights Law; Gender Law; Animal Rights Law

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