IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cdi/wpaper/138.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Les politiques de stabilisation des prix du coton en Afrique de la Zone Franc sont-elles condamnées ?

Author

Listed:
  • Catherine ARAUJO BONJEAN

    (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

  • Jean-François BRUN

    (Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches sur le Développement International(CERDI))

Abstract

Paradoxically, cotton price stabilization policies in Zone Franc Africa are questioned while their potential benefits seem more important today than at the time of their implementation. Producers face an increasing price volatility and the conditions of implementation of real insurance mechanisms for agricultural risks are not fulfilled in African countries. The econometric analysis of cotton price serie shows that they fluctuate along a deterministic trend with a break in 1994 and that the duration of cycles is approximately four years. So, there is no structural obstacle to the pursuit of price stabilization on a pluri annual basis which should improve producers welfare in particular for the poorest.

Suggested Citation

  • Catherine ARAUJO BONJEAN & Jean-François BRUN, 2000. "Les politiques de stabilisation des prix du coton en Afrique de la Zone Franc sont-elles condamnées ?," Working Papers 200009, CERDI.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:138
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://publi.cerdi.org/ed/2000/2000.09.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Deaton, Angus & Miller, Ron, 1996. "International Commodity Prices, Macroeconomic Performance and Politics in Sub-Saharan Africa," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 5(3), pages 99-191, October.
    2. Carmen M. Reinhart & Peter Wickham, 1994. "Commodity Prices: Cyclical Weakness or Secular Decline?," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 41(2), pages 175-213, June.
    3. Olivier Mahul, 1998. "Vers une redéfinition du rôle de l’assurance agricole dans la gestion des risques sur récoltes," Post-Print hal-01200910, HAL.
    4. Zivot, Eric & Andrews, Donald W K, 2002. "Further Evidence on the Great Crash, the Oil-Price Shock, and the Unit-Root Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 25-44, January.
    5. Angus Deaton, 1999. "Commodity Prices and Growth in Africa," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 23-40, Summer.
    6. Catherine Araujo Bonjean & Jean-Marc Boussard, 1999. "La stabilisation des prix aux producteurs agricoles : approches micro-économiques," Revue Tiers Monde, Programme National Persée, vol. 40(160), pages 901-928.
    7. Catherine Araujo Bonjean, 1998. "Les marchés mondiaux des produits agricoles sont-ils efficients ?," Économie rurale, Programme National Persée, vol. 243(1), pages 8-15.
    8. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    9. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    10. Catherine ARAUJO BONJEAN, 1997. "Termes de l'échange : de la baisse tendancielle au chaos," Working Papers 199701, CERDI.
    11. Catherine ARAUJO BONJEAN & Gérard CHAMBAS, 1997. "La taxation des exportations agricoles en Côte d'Ivoire après la dévaluation," Working Papers 199711, CERDI.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Akiyama, Takamasa & Baffes, John & Larson, Donald F. & Varangis, Panos, 2003. "Commodity market reform in Africa: some recent experience," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 83-115, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Araujo Bonjean, Catherine & Brun, Jean-Francois, 2001. "Les politiques de stabilisation des prix du coton en Afrique de la zone franc sont-elles condamnees?," Économie rurale, French Society of Rural Economics (SFER Société Française d'Economie Rurale), vol. 266.
    2. Araujo Bonjean, Catherine & Brun, Jean-François, 2001. "Les politiques de stabilisation des prix du coton en Afrique de la zone franc sont-elles condamnées?," Économie rurale, French Society of Rural Economics (SFER Société Française d'Economie Rurale), vol. 266.
    3. Walter Labys, 2005. "Commodity Price Fluctuations: A Century of Analysis," Working Papers Working Paper 2005-01, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University.
    4. repec:rri:wpaper:200501 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Levent, Korap, 2009. "Enflasyon ve enflasyon belirsizliği ilişkisi için G7 ekonomileri üzerine bir inceleme [An investigation for the inflation and inflation uncertainty relationship upon the G7 economies]," MPRA Paper 19478, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Aggarwal, Divya, 2019. "Do bitcoins follow a random walk model?," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 15-22.
    7. Tuysuz, Sukriye, 2007. "The asymmetric impact of macroeconomic announcements on U.S. Government bond rate level and volatility," MPRA Paper 5381, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Cuddington, John T. & Liang, Hong, "undated". "Will the Emergence of the Euro Affect World Commodity Prices?," WIDER Working Papers 295505, United Nations University, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    9. Balaji Bathmanaban & Raja Sethu Durai S & Ramachandran M, 2017. "The relationship between Output Uncertainty and Economic Growth-Evidence from India," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(4), pages 2680-2691.
    10. Chkili, Walid & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2014. "Volatility forecasting and risk management for commodity markets in the presence of asymmetry and long memory," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 1-18.
    11. Nicholas Apergis & Umit Bulut & Gulbahar Ucler & Serife Ozsahin, 2021. "The causal linkage between inflation and inflation uncertainty under structural breaks: Evidence from Turkey," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 89(3), pages 259-275, June.
    12. Dahiru A. Balaa & Taro Takimotob, 2017. "Stock markets volatility spillovers during financial crises: A DCC-MGARCH with skewed-t density approach," Borsa Istanbul Review, Research and Business Development Department, Borsa Istanbul, vol. 17(1), pages 25-48, March.
    13. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gupta, Rangan & Gormus, Alper & Soytas, Ugur, 2020. "Price and volatility linkages between international REITs and oil markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    14. Till Strohsal & Enzo Weber, 2014. "Mean-variance cointegration and the expectations hypothesis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 1983-1997, November.
    15. Sambit Bhattacharyya & Jeffrey Williamson, 2013. "Distributional Impact of Commodity Price Shocks: Australia over a Century," CEH Discussion Papers 019, Centre for Economic History, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
    16. Nazlioglu, Saban & Gormus, N. Alper & Soytas, Uğur, 2016. "Oil prices and real estate investment trusts (REITs): Gradual-shift causality and volatility transmission analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 168-175.
    17. Mstislav Elagin, 2008. "Locally adaptive estimation methods with application to univariate time series," Papers 0812.0449, arXiv.org.
    18. Korap, Levent, 2010. "Threshold GARCH modeling of the inflation & inflation uncertainty relationship: historical evidence from the Turkish economy," MPRA Paper 31765, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Tse, Chin-Bun & Rodgers, Timothy & Niklewski, Jacek, 2014. "The 2007 financial crisis and the UK residential housing market: Did the relationship between interest rates and house prices change?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 518-530.
    20. Li, Liuling & Mizrach, Bruce, 2010. "Tail return analysis of Bear Stearns' credit default swaps," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(6), pages 1529-1536, November.
    21. Vanshu Mahajan & Sunil Thakan & Aashish Malik, 2022. "Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of NIFTY 50 Using GARCH and RNN Models," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-20, April.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cdi:wpaper:138. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Vincent Mazenod (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ceauvfr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.