Non-Traded, Traded and Aggregate Inflation in Ireland: Further Evidence
This paper addresses the unresolved issues surrounding the determination of Irish inflation. The study tests the validity of i) a pure wage mark-up model ii) a pure small open economy model and iii) a hybrid model which fuses elements of i) and ii) over the period 1979:Q1-1995:Q3. Multivariate cointegration techniques are employed to clearly distinguish the long- and the short-run information in the data. The results highlight the relevance of the distinction between traded and non-traded prices. For traded prices, full purchasing power parity (PPP) was found to be consistent with the data. In the case of non-traded prices, the data reject strict long-run PPP. Aggregate price results occupy an intermediate position. Finally, the paper demonstrates that strong bi-directional feedback exists between prices and wages.
|Date of creation:||Dec 1996|
|Date of revision:|
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