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UK Asset Price Volatility Over the Last 50 Years

Author

Listed:
  • Nicola Anderson
  • Francis Breedon

Abstract

The paper analyses the volatility of UK equity, bond and treasury bill returns and the sterling/dollar exchange rate since 1945. It finds that the volatility of all these assets is on a declining trend after peaking in the late '70s. It seems that greater nominal and real macroeconomic stability are the most likely causes of the current declining trend. Volatility is, however, still significantly higher than in the Bretton Woods era. The authors find no evidence that asset price volatility has any consequences for real activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicola Anderson & Francis Breedon, 1996. "UK Asset Price Volatility Over the Last 50 Years," Bank of England working papers 51, Bank of England.
    • Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:51
    as

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    File URL: http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/archive/Documents/historicpubs/workingpapers/1996/wp51.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    6. Quah, Danny & Vahey, Shaun P, 1995. "Measuring Core Inflation?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 105(432), pages 1130-1144, September.
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    14. Spencer Dale & Marco Rossi, 1996. "A Market for Intra-day Funds: Does it Have Implications for Monetary Policy?," Bank of England working papers 46, Bank of England.
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    Cited by:

    1. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1997. "Inflation forecast targeting: Implementing and monitoring inflation targets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1111-1146, June.
    2. Shinobu Nakagawa & Naoto Osawa, 2000. "Financial Market and Macroeconomic Volatility - Relationships and Some Puzzles -," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series Research and Statistics D, Bank of Japan.
    3. Victoria Saporta & Kamhon Kan, 1997. "The effects of Stamp Duty on the Level and Volatility of Equity Prices," Bank of England working papers 71, Bank of England.
    4. Marco Rossi, 1996. "The information content of the short end of the term structure of interest rates," Bank of England working papers 55, Bank of England.
    5. Ewa Majerowska, "undated". "Validity of the optimal portfolio allocation model with price constraints on the example of the Warsaw Stock Exchange," Discussion Papers in European Economics 99/5, Division of Economics, School of Business, University of Leicester.
    6. Matthew B Canzoneri & Charles Nolan & Anthony Yates, 1996. "Feasible Mechanisms for Achieving Monetary Stability: a Comparison of Inflation Targeting and the ERM," Bank of England working papers 52, Bank of England.
    7. Anthony Yates & Bryan Chapple, 1996. "What Determines the Short-run Output-Inflation Trade-off?," Bank of England working papers 53, Bank of England.
    8. Charles Nolan & Eric Schaling, 1996. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Central Bank Accountability," Bank of England working papers 54, Bank of England.
    9. Francis Breedon, 1996. "Why do the LIFFE and DTB bund futures contracts trade at different prices?," Bank of England working papers 57, Bank of England.
    10. Green, Christopher J. & Maggioni, Paolo & Murinde, Victor, 2000. "Regulatory lessons for emerging stock markets from a century of evidence on transactions costs and share price volatility in the London Stock Exchange," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 577-601, April.

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