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Indice de Estabilidad Financiera para Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Dairo Estrada
  • Miguel Ángel Morales Mosquera

Abstract

Los desequilibrios en los sistemas financieros actuales y de finales de los años noventa, evidenciaron una vez más los enormes costos económicos y sociales generados por los periodos de inestabilidad financiera. De allí que la construcción de índices de estrés haya empezado a ser ampliamente desarrollada como alternativa para evaluar la calidad de los sistemas financieros en el mundo. El objetivo de este documento es desarrollar un índice continuo y cuantificable con la capacidad de determinar el nivel de estrés del sistema financiero colombiano teniendo en cuenta consideraciones de rentabilidad, liquidez y probabilidad de incumplimiento. Las metodologías utilizadas abarcan la aproximación de igualdad de varianza, los componentes principales, y en general modelos para datos de conteo. Los resultados muestran que el índice logra determinar el nivel de estrés contemporáneo del sistema tanto de manera global como desagregada. Asimismo, se desarrollaron pronósticos del índice de estabilidad financiera (IEFI) usando algunas variables macroeconómicas relevantes.

Suggested Citation

  • Dairo Estrada & Miguel Ángel Morales Mosquera, 2009. "Indice de Estabilidad Financiera para Colombia," Temas de Estabilidad Financiera 038, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:temest:038
    DOI: 10.32468/tef.38
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Espino, Freddy, 2012. "Un Índice de Estabilidad Bancaria para Perú," Working Papers 2012-015, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.
    2. Fernando Arias Rodríguez & Celina Gaitán Maldonado & Johanna López Velandia, 2014. "Las entidades financieras a lo largo del ciclo de negocios: ¿está el ciclo financiero sincronizado con el ciclo de negocios?," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 32(75), pages 28-40, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Indices de estrés bancario; Instituciones financieras; Monitoreo; Fragilidad financiera.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities

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