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Synthetic Cultural Agents from Aggregate Anchors

Author

Listed:
  • Augusto Gonzalez-Bonorino

    (Department of Economics, Arizona State University
    EconLLM Lab)

  • Kseniia Biriukova

    (EconLLM Lab
    Department of Information Systems, Arizona State University)

  • Monica Capra

    (EconLLM Lab
    Department of Economics, Claremont Graduate University)

Abstract

Population prompts are widely used to generate synthetic survey responses, but they combine information supplied at inference with associations already encoded during pretraining. We introduce an alternative construction that maps declared aggregate preference anchors into group-indexed choice policies. For each population, the signs of six Global Preferences Survey (GPS) coordinates deterministically label a shared bank of paired synthetic responses, and Direct Preference Optimization fits a parameter-efficient adapter to those comparisons. We evaluate the adapters on candidate World Values Survey (WVS) items using prompts that omit country names and distinguish four questions: recovery of the imposed labels, transfer of the anchor signal to new text, coherence between the GPS anchors and human WVS responses, and agreement between adapter and human scores. The adapters recover the imposed pairwise labels. On a purposively selected sixteen-country development panel, adapter trust scores completely separate the two GPS-sign groups and have a rank correlation of (0.74) with continuous GPS trust scores. Human-GPS and adapter-human associations remain unresolved on the same panel, and results for the other preference dimensions are heterogeneous. These findings show that an anchored policy can retain a declared aggregate signal without thereby reproducing human response patterns. The contribution is therefore both an inspectable construction and an evaluation framework that separates anchor transfer from human criterion agreement.

Suggested Citation

  • Augusto Gonzalez-Bonorino & Kseniia Biriukova & Monica Capra, 2026. "Synthetic Cultural Agents from Aggregate Anchors," Papers 2610.06562, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2610.06562
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Armin Falk & Anke Becker & Thomas Dohmen & Benjamin Enke & David B. Huffman & Uwe Sunde, 2017. "Global Evidence on Economic Preferences," NBER Working Papers 23943, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Jens Ludwig & Sendhil Mullainathan & Ashesh Rambachan, 2026. "Large Language Models: An Applied Econometric Framework," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 18(1), pages 283-316, August.
    3. Armin Falk & Anke Becker & Thomas Dohmen & Benjamin Enke & David Huffman & Uwe Sunde, 2018. "Global Evidence on Economic Preferences," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 133(4), pages 1645-1692.
    4. Steenkamp, Jan-Benedict E M & Baumgartner, Hans, 1998. "Assessing Measurement Invariance in Cross-National Consumer Research," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 25(1), pages 78-90, June.
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