IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2609.22202.html

An Operator-Based Visual Analytics Pipeline for Synthetic Systemic Risk Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Ana Isabel Castillo Pereda

Abstract

This work presents an operator-based visual analytics pipeline for exploring synthetic systemic risk dynamics in financial networks. The framework is formulated as a composition of mathematical operators that sequentially transform synthetic financial observations into dynamic scientific visualizations. The pipeline consists of six operators: latent risk mapping, probabilistic score generation, financial network construction, distance-based contagion dynamics, visual encoding, and perspective projection. Together, these operators provide a modular computational structure linking nonlinear risk surfaces, time-dependent probabilistic states, network topology, and shock propagation. A reproducible implementation demonstrates the architecture through controlled synthetic experiments. Nonlinear latent risk representations are converted into probabilistic scores, embedded in a weighted financial network, and propagated via shortest-path contagion. The resulting states are then mapped into dynamic visual representations. The experiments illustrate how visualization can be treated as an explicit stage of the analytical process rather than a post-processing step. The proposed formulation does not aim to introduce new predictive models or contagion mechanisms. Instead, it offers a transparent and modular pipeline that connects generative risk modeling, network dynamics, and scientific visualization within a unified operator-based architecture. This approach supports reproducibility and facilitates the exploration and communication of complex systemic-risk processes in synthetic settings.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Isabel Castillo Pereda, 2026. "An Operator-Based Visual Analytics Pipeline for Synthetic Systemic Risk Dynamics," Papers 2609.22202, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.22202
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.22202
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Prasanna Gai & Sujit Kapadia, 2010. "Contagion in financial networks," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 383, Bank of England.
    2. Rodrigo Cifuentes & Hyun Song Shin & Gianluigi Ferrucci, 2005. "Liquidity Risk and Contagion," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, vol. 3(2-3), pages 556-566, 04/05.
    3. Larry Eisenberg & Thomas H. Noe, 2001. "Systemic Risk in Financial Systems," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 47(2), pages 236-249, February.
    4. Lee, Seung Hwan, 2013. "Systemic liquidity shortages and interbank network structures," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 1-12.
    5. Pang, Congyuan & Fan, Hong, 2024. "Risk amplification effect of multilayer financial networks: Feedback mechanism or cyclic structure?," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
    6. Seung Hwan Lee, 2013. "Systemic Liquidity Shortages and Interbank Network Structures," Working Papers 2013-4, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. T. R. Hurd, 2018. "Bank Panics And Fire Sales, Insolvency And Illiquidity," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(06), pages 1-30, September.
    2. Sergio R. Stancato de Souza, 2014. "Capital Requirements, Liquidity and Financial Stability: the case of Brazil," Working Papers Series 375, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    3. Souza, Sergio R.S. & Tabak, Benjamin M. & Silva, Thiago C. & Guerra, Solange M., 2015. "Insolvency and contagion in the Brazilian interbank market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 431(C), pages 140-151.
    4. Edoardo Gaffeo & Lucio Gobbi & Massimo Molinari, 2019. "Liquidity contagion with a “first-in/first-out†seniority of claims," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(4), pages 2572-2579.
    5. Francesca Biagini & Jean-Pierre Fouque & Marco Frittelli & Thilo Meyer-Brandis, 2020. "On fairness of systemic risk measures," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 513-564, April.
    6. Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato de, 2016. "Capital requirements, liquidity and financial stability: The case of Brazil," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 179-192.
    7. Alessandro Doldi & Marco Frittelli, 2021. "Real-Valued Systemic Risk Measures," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-24, April.
    8. T. R. Hurd, 2017. "Bank Panics and Fire Sales, Insolvency and Illiquidity," Papers 1711.05289, arXiv.org.
    9. Siklos, Pierre L. & Stefan, Martin, 2021. "Exchange rate shocks in multicurrency interbank markets," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    10. Sadamori Kojaku & Giulio Cimini & Guido Caldarelli & Naoki Masuda, 2018. "Structural changes in the interbank market across the financial crisis from multiple core-periphery analysis," Papers 1802.05139, arXiv.org.
    11. Matteo Citterio & Marco D'Errico & Gabriele Visentin, 2024. "Conditional Forecasting of Margin Calls using Dynamic Graph Neural Networks," Papers 2410.23275, arXiv.org.
    12. Gandy, Axel & Veraart, Luitgard A. M., 2021. "Compound poisson models for weighted networks with applications in finance," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 104185, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    13. Gerardo Ferrara & Sam Langfield & Zijun Liu & Tomohiro Ota, 2019. "Systemic illiquidity in the interbank network," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(11), pages 1779-1795, November.
    14. Hüser, Anne-Caroline, 2016. "Too interconnected to fail: A survey of the Interbank Networks literature," SAFE Working Paper Series 91, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, revised 2016.
    15. EDOARDO GAFFEO & Lucio Gobbi & Massimo Molinari, 2018. "Bilateral netting and systemic liquidity shortages in banking networks," DEM Working Papers 2018/06, Department of Economics and Management.
    16. Yichen Zhou & Honggang Li, 2019. "Asset diversification and systemic risk in the financial system," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(2), pages 247-272, June.
    17. T. R. Hurd & Davide Cellai & Sergey Melnik & Quentin H. Shao, 2016. "Double Cascade Model Of Financial Crises," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(05), pages 1-27, August.
    18. Peralta, Gustavo & Crisóstomo, Ricardo, 2016. "Financial contagion with spillover effects: a multiplex network approach," ESRB Working Paper Series 32, European Systemic Risk Board.
    19. Bakoush, Mohamed & Gerding, Enrico H. & Wolfe, Simon, 2019. "Margin requirements and systemic liquidity risk," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 78-95.
    20. Edoardo Gaffeo & Lucio Gobbi, 2022. "Correction to: Achieving financial stability during a liquidity crisis: a multi‑objective approach," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 24(1), pages 100-100, March.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.22202. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.