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The Inflation of Resetting Workers

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  • Rui Sun

Abstract

The standard wage Phillips curve aggregates away from which workers reset wages when. I show this aggregation omits a first-order term: the covariance between workers' cost-push exposure and their reset frequency. I introduce two sufficient statistics and embed them in a multi-country HANK model calibrated to six euro-area economies. The omitted term generates 7 percent more cumulative core inflation in the baseline and 10--26 percent more when monetary policy is delayed. Two economies with identical openness can differ by 6.6 percentage-point-quarters solely from within-country composition. Targeted essentials subsidies reduce welfare loss by 32 percent relative to aggressive tightening. Out of sample, the model correctly predicts the persistence ranking across the UK, the US, and Japan.

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  • Rui Sun, 2026. "The Inflation of Resetting Workers," Papers 2603.29154, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.29154
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Christian Bayer & Ralph Luetticke, 2020. "Solving discrete time heterogeneous agent models with aggregate risk and many idiosyncratic states by perturbation," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1253-1288, November.
    2. Acharya, Viral & Crosignani, Matteo & Eisert, Tim & Eufinger, Christian, 2023. "How do supply shocks to inflation generalize? Evidence from the pandemic era in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 18530, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
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