IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2603.05119.html

Asymptotic Separability of Diffusion and Jump Components in High-Frequency CIR and CKLS Models

Author

Listed:
  • Sourojyoti Barick

Abstract

This paper develops a robust parametric framework for jump detection in discretely observed CKLS-type jump-diffusion processes with high-frequency asymptotics, based on the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). The methodology exploits the intrinsic asymptotic scale separation between diffusion increments, which decay at rate $\sqrt{\Delta_n}$, and jump increments, which remain of non-vanishing stochastic magnitude. Using robust MDPDE-based estimators of the drift and diffusion coefficients, we construct standardized residuals whose extremal behavior provides a principled basis for statistical discrimination between continuous and discontinuous components. We establish that, over diffusion intervals, the maximum of the normalized residuals converges to the Gumbel extreme-value distribution, yielding an explicit and asymptotically valid detection threshold. Building on this result, we prove classification consistency of the proposed robust detection procedure: the probability of correctly identifying all jump and diffusion increments converges to one under proper asymptotics. The MDPDE-based normalization attenuates the influence of atypical increments and stabilizes the detection boundary in the presence of discontinuities. Simulation results confirm that robustness improves finite-sample stability and reduces spurious detections without compromising asymptotic validity. The proposed methodology provides a theoretically rigorous and practically resilient robust approach to jump identification in high-frequency stochastic systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Sourojyoti Barick, 2026. "Asymptotic Separability of Diffusion and Jump Components in High-Frequency CIR and CKLS Models," Papers 2603.05119, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.05119
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2603.05119
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chan, K C, et al, 1992. "An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Models of the Short-Term Interest Rate," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(3), pages 1209-1227, July.
    2. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    3. Leif Andersen & Vladimir Piterbarg, 2007. "Moment explosions in stochastic volatility models," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 29-50, January.
    4. Suzanne S. Lee & Per A. Mykland, 2008. "Jumps in Financial Markets: A New Nonparametric Test and Jump Dynamics," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 21(6), pages 2535-2563, November.
    5. Duffie, Darrell & Singleton, Kenneth J, 1993. "Simulated Moments Estimation of Markov Models of Asset Prices," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 61(4), pages 929-952, July.
    6. Darrell Duffie & Jun Pan & Kenneth Singleton, 2000. "Transform Analysis and Asset Pricing for Affine Jump-Diffusions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 68(6), pages 1343-1376, November.
    7. Ole E. Barndorff-Nielsen & Neil Shephard, 2006. "Econometrics of Testing for Jumps in Financial Economics Using Bipower Variation," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 4(1), pages 1-30.
    8. Mishura, Yuliya & Ralchenko, Kostiantyn & Dehtiar, Olena, 2022. "Parameter estimation in CKLS model by continuous observations," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    9. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    10. Sangyeol Lee & Junmo Song, 2013. "Minimum density power divergence estimator for diffusion processes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 65(2), pages 213-236, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
    2. Chen, Bin & Song, Zhaogang, 2013. "Testing whether the underlying continuous-time process follows a diffusion: An infinitesimal operator-based approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(1), pages 83-107.
    3. Jacod, Jean & Klüppelberg, Claudia & Müller, Gernot, 2017. "Testing for non-correlation between price and volatility jumps," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 197(2), pages 284-297.
    4. Hanousek Jan & Kočenda Evžen & Novotný Jan, 2012. "The identification of price jumps," Monte Carlo Methods and Applications, De Gruyter, vol. 18(1), pages 53-77, January.
    5. Maneesoonthorn, Worapree & Martin, Gael M. & Forbes, Catherine S., 2020. "High-frequency jump tests: Which test should we use?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(2), pages 478-487.
    6. Suresh M. Sundaresan, 2000. "Continuous‐Time Methods in Finance: A Review and an Assessment," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 55(4), pages 1569-1622, August.
    7. repec:wyi:journl:002108 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Hao Zhou, 2001. "Jump-diffusion term structure and Ito conditional moment generator," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2001-28, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    9. Amengual, Dante & Xiu, Dacheng, 2018. "Resolution of policy uncertainty and sudden declines in volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 297-315.
    10. Yeh, Jin-Huei & Yun, Mu-Shu, 2023. "Assessing jump and cojumps in financial asset returns with applications in futures markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    11. Liu, Yi & Liu, Huifang & Zhang, Lei, 2019. "Modeling and forecasting return jumps using realized variation measures," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 63-80.
    12. Chorro, Christophe & Ielpo, Florian & Sévi, Benoît, 2020. "The contribution of intraday jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    13. Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M. Martin & Catherine S. Forbes, 2017. "Dynamic asset price jumps and the performance of high frequency tests and measures," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/17, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    14. Christensen, Kim & Oomen, Roel & Podolskij, Mark, 2010. "Realised quantile-based estimation of the integrated variance," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 159(1), pages 74-98, November.
    15. Worapree Maneesoonthorn & Gael M Martin & Catherine S Forbes, 2018. "Dynamic price jumps: The performance of high frequency tests and measures, and the robustness of inference," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/18, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    16. Zongwu Cai & Yongmiao Hong, 2013. "Some Recent Developments in Nonparametric Finance," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    17. Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 17006, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    18. Donatien Hainaut & Franck Moraux, 2019. "A switching self-exciting jump diffusion process for stock prices," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(2), pages 267-306, June.
    19. David S. Bates, 2016. "How Crashes Develop: Intradaily Volatility and Crash Evolution," NBER Working Papers 22028, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Kuo Shing Chen & J. Jimmy Yang, 2024. "Price dynamics and volatility jumps in bitcoin options," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-29, December.
    21. Jan Novotn?? & Jan Hanousek & Ev??en Ko??enda, 2013. "Price Jump Indicators: Stock Market Empirics During the Crisis," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp1050, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2603.05119. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.