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tempdisagg: A Python Framework for Temporal Disaggregation of Time Series Data

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  • Jaime Vera-Jaramillo

Abstract

tempdisagg is a modern, extensible, and production-ready Python framework for temporal disaggregation of time series data. It transforms low-frequency aggregates into consistent, high-frequency estimates using a wide array of econometric techniques-including Chow-Lin, Denton, Litterman, Fernandez, and uniform interpolation-as well as enhanced variants with automated estimation of key parameters such as the autocorrelation coefficient rho. The package introduces features beyond classical methods, including robust ensemble modeling via non-negative least squares optimization, post-estimation correction of negative values under multiple aggregation rules, and optional regression-based imputation of missing values through a dedicated Retropolarizer module. Architecturally, it follows a modular design inspired by scikit-learn, offering a clean API for validation, modeling, visualization, and result interpretation.

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  • Jaime Vera-Jaramillo, 2025. "tempdisagg: A Python Framework for Temporal Disaggregation of Time Series Data," Papers 2503.22054, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2503.22054
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Helmut Lütkepohl, 2005. "New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-27752-1, March.
    2. Litterman, Robert B, 1983. "A Random Walk, Markov Model for the Distribution of Time Series," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(2), pages 169-173, April.
    3. Tommaso Proietti, 2006. "Temporal disaggregation by state space methods: Dynamic regression methods revisited," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 9(3), pages 357-372, November.
    4. Chow, Gregory C & Lin, An-loh, 1971. "Best Linear Unbiased Interpolation, Distribution, and Extrapolation of Time Series by Related Series," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 53(4), pages 372-375, November.
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