IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2403.00770.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Blockchain Metrics and Indicators in Cryptocurrency Trading

Author

Listed:
  • Juan C. King
  • Roberto Dale
  • Jos'e M. Amig'o

Abstract

The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that make up Bitcoin mining. Therefore, our analysis is unique to that network. The results obtained with numerical simulations of algorithmic trading and prediction via statistical models and Machine Learning demonstrate the importance of variables such as the hash rate, the difficulty of mining or the cost per transaction when it comes to trade Bitcoin assets or predict the direction of price. Variables obtained from the blockchain network will be called here blockchain metrics. The corresponding indicators (inspired by the "Hash Ribbon") perform well in locating buy signals. From our results, we conclude that such blockchain indicators allow obtaining information with a statistical advantage in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan C. King & Roberto Dale & Jos'e M. Amig'o, 2024. "Blockchain Metrics and Indicators in Cryptocurrency Trading," Papers 2403.00770, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2403.00770
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2403.00770
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dean Fantazzini & Nikita Kolodin, 2020. "Does the Hashrate Affect the Bitcoin Price?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-29, October.
    2. Sourav Chatterjee, 2021. "A New Coefficient of Correlation," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 116(536), pages 2009-2022, October.
    3. Mojtaba Nabipour & Pooyan Nayyeri & Hamed Jabani & Amir Mosavi, 2020. "Deep learning for Stock Market Prediction," Papers 2004.01497, arXiv.org.
    4. Andrew Detzel & Hong Liu & Jack Strauss & Guofu Zhou & Yingzi Zhu, 2021. "Learning and predictability via technical analysis: Evidence from bitcoin and stocks with hard‐to‐value fundamentals," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 50(1), pages 107-137, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yihui He & Fang Han, 2023. "On propensity score matching with a diverging number of matches," Papers 2310.14142, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    2. Priyank Sonkiya & Vikas Bajpai & Anukriti Bansal, 2021. "Stock price prediction using BERT and GAN," Papers 2107.09055, arXiv.org.
    3. Kubal, Jan & Kristoufek, Ladislav, 2022. "Exploring the relationship between Bitcoin price and network’s hashrate within endogenous system," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. Suya Jin & Guiyan Liu & Qifeng Bai, 2023. "Deep Learning in COVID-19 Diagnosis, Prognosis and Treatment Selection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-16, March.
    5. Zhexiao Lin & Fang Han, 2023. "On the failure of the bootstrap for Chatterjee's rank correlation," Papers 2303.14088, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
    6. Mohammed El Amine Senoussaoui & Mostefa Brahami & Issouf Fofana, 2021. "Transformer Oil Quality Assessment Using Random Forest with Feature Engineering," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, March.
    7. Almeida, José & Gonçalves, Tiago Cruz, 2023. "A systematic literature review of investor behavior in the cryptocurrency markets," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    8. Abdol Rassoul Zarei & Marzieh Mokarram & Mohammad Reza Mahmoudi, 2023. "Comparison of the capability of the Meteorological and Remote Sensing Drought Indices," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(2), pages 769-796, January.
    9. Pedro M. Mirete-Ferrer & Alberto Garcia-Garcia & Juan Samuel Baixauli-Soler & Maria A. Prats, 2022. "A Review on Machine Learning for Asset Management," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-46, April.
    10. Arvind Kumar Sinha & Pradeep Shende, 2024. "Uncertainty Optimization Based Feature Selection Model for Stock Marketing," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(1), pages 357-389, January.
    11. Mingbo Zheng & Gen-Fu Feng & Xinxin Zhao & Chun-Ping Chang, 2023. "The transaction behavior of cryptocurrency and electricity consumption," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, December.
    12. Julien Chevallier & Bilel Sanhaji, 2023. "Jump-Robust Realized-GARCH-MIDAS-X Estimators for Bitcoin and Ethereum Volatility Indices," Stats, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-32, December.
    13. John E. Marthinsen & Steven R. Gordon, 2022. "The Price and Cost of Bitcoin," Papers 2204.13102, arXiv.org.
    14. David Cerezo Sánchez, 2022. "Pravuil: Global Consensus for a United World," FinTech, MDPI, vol. 1(4), pages 1-20, October.
    15. Borgonovo, Emanuele & Ghidini, Valentina & Hahn, Roman & Plischke, Elmar, 2023. "Explaining classifiers with measures of statistical association," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    16. Li, Yi & Urquhart, Andrew & Wang, Pengfei & Zhang, Wei, 2021. "MAX momentum in cryptocurrency markets," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    17. Ioan Mihail Savaniu & Alexandru-Polifron Chiriță & Oana Tonciu & Magdalena Culcea & Ancuta Neagu, 2023. "Neural-Network-Based Time Control for Microwave Oven Heating of Food Products Distributed by a Solar-Powered Vending Machine with Energy Management Considerations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-22, October.
    18. Li Guo & Wolfgang Karl Hardle & Yubo Tao, 2018. "A Time-Varying Network for Cryptocurrencies," Papers 1802.03708, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
    19. Dean Fantazzini, 2022. "Crypto-Coins and Credit Risk: Modelling and Forecasting Their Probability of Death," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-34, July.
    20. Yiyang Zheng, 2022. "Neural Network and Order Flow, Technical Analysis: Predicting short-term direction of futures contract," Papers 2203.12457, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2403.00770. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.