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Policy choices and outcomes for offshore wind auctions globally

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Listed:
  • Malte Jansen
  • Philipp Beiter
  • Iegor Riepin
  • Felix Muesgens
  • Victor Juarez Guajardo-Fajardo
  • Iain Staffell
  • Bernard Bulder
  • Lena Kitzing

Abstract

Offshore wind energy is rapidly expanding, facilitated largely through auctions run by governments. We provide a detailed quantified overview of applied auction schemes, including geographical spread, volumes, results, and design specifications. Our comprehensive global dataset reveals heterogeneous designs. Although most remuneration designs provide some form of revenue stabilisation, their specific instrument choices vary and include feed-in tariffs, one-sided and two-sided contracts for difference, mandated power purchase agreements, and mandated renewable energy certificates. We review the schemes used in all eight major offshore wind jurisdictions across Europe, Asia, and North America and evaluate bids in their jurisdictional context. We analyse cost competitiveness, likelihood of timely construction, occurrence of strategic bidding, and identify jurisdictional aspects that might have influenced auction results. We find that auctions are embedded within their respective regulatory and market design context, and are remarkably diverse, though with regional similarities. Auctions in each jurisdiction have evolved and tend to become more exposed to market price risks over time. Less mature markets are more prone to make use of lower-risk designs. Still, some form of revenue stabilisation is employed for all auctioned offshore wind energy farms analysed here, regardless of the specific policy choices. Our data confirm a coincidence of declining costs and growing diffusion of auction regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Malte Jansen & Philipp Beiter & Iegor Riepin & Felix Muesgens & Victor Juarez Guajardo-Fajardo & Iain Staffell & Bernard Bulder & Lena Kitzing, 2022. "Policy choices and outcomes for offshore wind auctions globally," Papers 2202.12548, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2202.12548
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Klessmann, Corinna & Nabe, Christian & Burges, Karsten, 2008. "Pros and cons of exposing renewables to electricity market risks--A comparison of the market integration approaches in Germany, Spain, and the UK," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 3646-3661, October.
    2. Welisch, Marijke & Poudineh, Rahmatallah, 2020. "Auctions for allocation of offshore wind contracts for difference in the UK," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 1266-1274.
    3. deCastro, M. & Salvador, S. & Gómez-Gesteira, M. & Costoya, X. & Carvalho, D. & Sanz-Larruga, F.J. & Gimeno, L., 2019. "Europe, China and the United States: Three different approaches to the development of offshore wind energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 55-70.
    4. Luiz T. A. Maurer & Luiz A. Barroso, 2011. "Electricity Auctions : An Overview of Efficient Practices," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 2346, December.
    5. Malte Jansen & Iain Staffell & Lena Kitzing & Sylvain Quoilin & Edwin Wiggelinkhuizen & Bernard Bulder & Iegor Riepin & Felix Müsgens, 2020. "Offshore wind competitiveness in mature markets without subsidy," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 614-622, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Xinyu Li & Marco Haan & Sander Onderstal & Jasper Veldman, 2023. "A Wind Tunnel Test of Wind Farm Auctions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-046/VII, Tinbergen Institute.
    2. Hongyun Zhang & Michael G. Pollitt, 2023. "Comparison of policy instruments in the development process of offshore wind power in North Sea countries," Working Papers EPRG2323, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    3. Sara C. Pryor & Rebecca J. Barthelmie, 2024. "Power Production, Inter- and Intra-Array Wake Losses from the U.S. East Coast Offshore Wind Energy Lease Areas," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-30, February.
    4. Hastings-Simon, Sara & Leach, Andrew & Shaffer, Blake & Weis, Tim, 2022. "Alberta's Renewable Electricity Program: Design, results, and lessons learned," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    5. Simshauser, Paul, 2024. "On static vs. dynamic line ratings in renewable energy zones," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    6. Tiedemann, Silvana & Müller-Hansen, Finn, 2023. "Auctions to phase out coal power: Lessons learned from Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    7. Batz Liñeiro, Taimyra & Müsgens, Felix, 2023. "Evaluating the German onshore wind auction programme: An analysis based on individual bids," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).

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