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Using the Epps effect to detect discrete processes

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  • Patrick Chang
  • Etienne Pienaar
  • Tim Gebbie

Abstract

The Epps effect is key phenomenology relating to high frequency correlation dynamics in financial markets. We argue that it can be used to provide insight into whether tick data is best represented as samples from Brownian diffusions, or as samples from truly discrete events represented as connected point processes. We derive the Epps effect arising from asynchrony and provide a refined method to correct for the effect. We then propose three experiments which show how to discriminate between possible underlying representations. These in turn demonstrate how a simple Hawkes representation recovers phenomenology reported in the literature that cannot be recovered using a Brownian representation without additional ad hoc model complexity. However, complex ad hoc noise models built on Brownian motions cannot in general be discriminated relative to a Hawkes representation. Nevertheless, we argue that high frequency correlation dynamics are most faithfully recovered when tick data is represented as a web of interconnected discrete events rather than being samples from continuous Brownian diffusions even when combined with noise.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrick Chang & Etienne Pienaar & Tim Gebbie, 2020. "Using the Epps effect to detect discrete processes," Papers 2005.10568, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2005.10568
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    7. Patrick Chang & Etienne Pienaar & Tim Gebbie, 2020. "Malliavin-Mancino estimators implemented with non-uniform fast Fourier transforms," Papers 2003.02842, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2020.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dominic Bauer & Derick Diana & Tim Gebbie, 2024. "Correlation emergence in two coupled simulated limit order books," Papers 2408.03181, arXiv.org.
    2. Patrick Chang & Etienne Pienaar & Tim Gebbie, 2020. "The Epps effect under alternative sampling schemes," Papers 2011.11281, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.

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