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AlphaStock: A Buying-Winners-and-Selling-Losers Investment Strategy using Interpretable Deep Reinforcement Attention Networks

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Listed:
  • Jingyuan Wang
  • Yang Zhang
  • Ke Tang
  • Junjie Wu
  • Zhang Xiong

Abstract

Recent years have witnessed the successful marriage of finance innovations and AI techniques in various finance applications including quantitative trading (QT). Despite great research efforts devoted to leveraging deep learning (DL) methods for building better QT strategies, existing studies still face serious challenges especially from the side of finance, such as the balance of risk and return, the resistance to extreme loss, and the interpretability of strategies, which limit the application of DL-based strategies in real-life financial markets. In this work, we propose AlphaStock, a novel reinforcement learning (RL) based investment strategy enhanced by interpretable deep attention networks, to address the above challenges. Our main contributions are summarized as follows: i) We integrate deep attention networks with a Sharpe ratio-oriented reinforcement learning framework to achieve a risk-return balanced investment strategy; ii) We suggest modeling interrelationships among assets to avoid selection bias and develop a cross-asset attention mechanism; iii) To our best knowledge, this work is among the first to offer an interpretable investment strategy using deep reinforcement learning models. The experiments on long-periodic U.S. and Chinese markets demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of AlphaStock over diverse market states. It turns out that AlphaStock tends to select the stocks as winners with high long-term growth, low volatility, high intrinsic value, and being undervalued recently.

Suggested Citation

  • Jingyuan Wang & Yang Zhang & Ke Tang & Junjie Wu & Zhang Xiong, 2019. "AlphaStock: A Buying-Winners-and-Selling-Losers Investment Strategy using Interpretable Deep Reinforcement Attention Networks," Papers 1908.02646, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1908.02646
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Narasimhan Jegadeesh, 2002. "Cross-Sectional and Time-Series Determinants of Momentum Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(1), pages 143-157, March.
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    6. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Mehran Taghian & Ahmad Asadi & Reza Safabakhsh, 2021. "A Reinforcement Learning Based Encoder-Decoder Framework for Learning Stock Trading Rules," Papers 2101.03867, arXiv.org.
    2. Wei Pan & Jide Li & Xiaoqiang Li, 2020. "Portfolio Learning Based on Deep Learning," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-13, November.
    3. Tidor-Vlad Pricope, 2021. "Deep Reinforcement Learning in Quantitative Algorithmic Trading: A Review," Papers 2106.00123, arXiv.org.
    4. Jian Guo & Saizhuo Wang & Lionel M. Ni & Heung-Yeung Shum, 2022. "Quant 4.0: Engineering Quantitative Investment with Automated, Explainable and Knowledge-driven Artificial Intelligence," Papers 2301.04020, arXiv.org.
    5. Damiano Brigo & Xiaoshan Huang & Andrea Pallavicini & Haitz Saez de Ocariz Borde, 2021. "Interpretability in deep learning for finance: a case study for the Heston model," Papers 2104.09476, arXiv.org.
    6. Jinan Zou & Qingying Zhao & Yang Jiao & Haiyao Cao & Yanxi Liu & Qingsen Yan & Ehsan Abbasnejad & Lingqiao Liu & Javen Qinfeng Shi, 2022. "Stock Market Prediction via Deep Learning Techniques: A Survey," Papers 2212.12717, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2023.
    7. Hui Niu & Siyuan Li & Jian Li, 2022. "MetaTrader: An Reinforcement Learning Approach Integrating Diverse Policies for Portfolio Optimization," Papers 2210.01774, arXiv.org.
    8. Liang Zeng & Lei Wang & Hui Niu & Ruchen Zhang & Ling Wang & Jian Li, 2021. "Trade When Opportunity Comes: Price Movement Forecasting via Locality-Aware Attention and Iterative Refinement Labeling," Papers 2107.11972, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    9. Junran Wu & Ke Xu & Xueyuan Chen & Shangzhe Li & Jichang Zhao, 2021. "Price graphs: Utilizing the structural information of financial time series for stock prediction," Papers 2106.02522, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2021.
    10. Xiaoyu Tan & Zili Zhang & Xuejun Zhao & Shuyi Wang, 2022. "DeepPricing: pricing convertible bonds based on financial time-series generative adversarial networks," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-38, December.
    11. Shuo Sun & Rundong Wang & Bo An, 2021. "Reinforcement Learning for Quantitative Trading," Papers 2109.13851, arXiv.org.
    12. Manuel Nunes & Enrico Gerding & Frank McGroarty & Mahesan Niranjan, 2020. "Long short-term memory networks and laglasso for bond yield forecasting: Peeping inside the black box," Papers 2005.02217, arXiv.org.

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