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Discrete hierarchy of sizes and performances in the exchange-traded fund universe

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  • Benjamin Vandermarliere
  • Jan Ryckebusch
  • Koen Schoors
  • Peter Cauwels
  • Didier Sornette

Abstract

Using detailed statistical analyses of the size distribution of a universe of equity exchange-traded funds (ETFs), we discover a discrete hierarchy of sizes, which imprints a log-periodic structure on the probability distribution of ETF sizes that dominates the details of the asymptotic tail. This allows us to propose a classification of the studied universe of ETFs into seven size layers approximately organized according to a multiplicative ratio of 3.5 in their total market capitalization. Introducing a similarity metric generalising the Herfindhal index, we find that the largest ETFs exhibit a significantly stronger intra-layer and inter-layer similarity compared with the smaller ETFs. Comparing the performance across the seven discerned ETF size layers, we find an inverse size effect, namely large ETFs perform significantly better than the small ones both in 2014 and 2015.

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  • Benjamin Vandermarliere & Jan Ryckebusch & Koen Schoors & Peter Cauwels & Didier Sornette, 2016. "Discrete hierarchy of sizes and performances in the exchange-traded fund universe," Papers 1608.08582, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2016.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1608.08582
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Semyon MALAMUD, 2015. "A Dynamic Equilibrium Model of ETFs," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 15-37, Swiss Finance Institute.
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    Cited by:

    1. Marcus J Hamilton & Robert S Walker & Briggs Buchanan & David S Sandeford, 2020. "Scaling human sociopolitical complexity," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(7), pages 1-17, July.

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