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Fund Choice Behavior and Estimation of Switching Models: An Experiment

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  • Anufriev, M.

    (University of Technology, Sydney)

  • Tuinstra, J.

    (University of Amsterdam)

  • Bao, T.

    (University van Amsterdam)

Abstract

We run a laboratory experiment that contributes to the finance literature on "return chasing behavior" studying how investors switch between mutual funds driven by past performance of the funds. The subjects in this experiment make discrete choices between several (2, 3 or 4) experimental funds in multiple periods. The time series of funds' profits are exogenously generated prior to the experiment and subjects are paid for that period according to the profit of the fund they choose. The experimental results show that the investment decision can to a large extent be explained by a discrete choice model ("switching model") with a few lags and a predisposition effect. The intensity of choice parameter \beta in the discrete choice model depends on the structure of the profit time series of the funds, and there is no evidence that it is influenced by experience.

Suggested Citation

  • Anufriev, M. & Tuinstra, J. & Bao, T., 2013. "Fund Choice Behavior and Estimation of Switching Models: An Experiment," CeNDEF Working Papers 13-04, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:ams:ndfwpp:13-04
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Schmitt, Noemi & Westerhoff, Frank, 2015. "Managing rational routes to randomness," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 157-173.
    2. Anufriev, Mikhail & Kopányi, Dávid & Tuinstra, Jan, 2013. "Learning cycles in Bertrand competition with differentiated commodities and competing learning rules," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2562-2581.

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