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Global Agricultural Value Chains and Structural Transformation

Author

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  • Lim, Sunghun

Abstract

Can the modern-day developing economies leapfrog manufacturing sector to directly to service sector through the global agricultural production? Global value chains (GVCs) has changed the nature of production around the world. Especially, the rise of global value chains (GVCs) in agriculture has been a salient feature of the world economy over recent years. Despite their importance for the world economy, it is, however, unclear whether participation in GVCs leads the structural transformation ─ that is, the move from an economy primarily based on agriculture to an economy primarily based on manufacture, and then on service. In this paper, I investigate the impact of the participation of GVCs in the agricultural sector on structural transformation in countries by using cross-country panel data for 183 countries (including 48 African countries) from 1990 to 2013. By using country-fixed effects, I find that in response to greater agricultural value chains participation, manufacturing employment remains stable, but employment in the services sector increases. In other words, modern-day developing economies are leapfrogging manufacturing to directly develop their services sector through GVCs in agriculture. This result is strongly and significantly robust to various model specifications with year fixed effects, regional-specific fixed effects, and time monotonicity. Also, by using alternative measures of structural transformation such as GDP shares by sectors or female employment shares, the results are still strongly robust. I measure the extent of agricultural GVCs by adopting the recent method by Wang et al. (NBER, 2017) at the country level. I control for agricultural trade policies, domestic policy to agriculture as well as agricultural land areas, urban population growth, and demographic structure of countries. This is an important result by providing the original evidence that the agricultural GVCs participation has played a significant role in economic development in the world.

Suggested Citation

  • Lim, Sunghun, "undated". "Global Agricultural Value Chains and Structural Transformation," Staff Papers 285103, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:umaesp:285103
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.285103
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    Cited by:

    1. Ahn, Soojung & Steinbach, Sandro, 2022. "COVID-19 Trade Actions and Their Impact on the Agricultural and Food Sector," 2022 Allied Social Sciences Association (ASSA) Annual Meeting (Virtual), January 7-9, 2022 316789, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    2. Tabe-Ojong, Martin Paul Jr. & Nana, Ibrahim & Zimmermann, Andrea & Jafari, Yaghoob, 2024. "Trends and evolution of global value chains in food and agriculture: Implications for food security and nutrition," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    3. Kim, Dongin & Steinbach, Sandro & Zurita, Carlos, 2024. "Deep trade agreements and agri-food global value chain integration," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    4. Hashad, Reem & Lim, Sunghun & Abay, Kibrom A., 2024. "Global food value chains and obesity in low- and middle-income countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    5. Beck, Anne & Lim, Sunghun & Taglioni, Daria, 2024. "Understanding firm networks in global agricultural value chains," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    6. Zdráhal, Ivo, 2024. "The Revealed Comparative Advantage of Agri-Food Industries in Selected Countries in the Central and Eastern Europe: Gross-Versus Value-Added Trade Flows," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 16(2), June.
    7. Soojung Ahn & Sandro Steinbach, 2023. "The impact of COVID‐19 trade measures on agricultural and food trade," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 911-927, June.
    8. Awokuse, Titus & Lim, Sunghun & Santeramo, Fabio & Steinbach, Sandro, 2024. "Robust policy frameworks for strengthening the resilience and sustainability of agri-food global value chains," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
    9. Bangkit A. Wiryawan & Christian Otchia, 2022. "The legacy of the reformasi: the role of local government spending on industrial development in a decentralized Indonesia," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-19, December.
    10. Beck,Anne Helene & Lim, Sunghun & Taglioni,Daria, 2024. "Understanding Firm Networks in Global Agricultural Value Chains," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10774, The World Bank.
    11. Bellemare, Marc F., 2022. "Agricultural value chains: towards a marriage of development economics and industrial organisation?," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(02), January.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F63 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Economic Development
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade

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