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Spatial Endogenous Fire Risk and Efficient Fuel Management and Timber Harvest

Author

Listed:
  • Konoshima, Masashi
  • Montgomery, Claire A.
  • Albers, Heidi J.
  • Arthur, Jeffrey L.

Abstract

This paper integrates a spatial fire behavior model and a stochastic dynamic optimization model to determine the optimal spatial pattern of fuel management and timber harvest. Each year's fire season causes the loss of forest values and lives in the western US. This paper uses a multi-plot analysis and incorporates uncertainty about fire ignition locations and weather conditions to inform policy by examining the role of spatial endogenous risk - where management actions on one stand affect fire risk in that and adjacent stands. The results support two current strategies, but question two other strategies, for managing forests with fire risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Konoshima, Masashi & Montgomery, Claire A. & Albers, Heidi J. & Arthur, Jeffrey L., 2007. "Spatial Endogenous Fire Risk and Efficient Fuel Management and Timber Harvest," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon 9700, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea07:9700
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.9700
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    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Aaron J. Enriquez & Kevin Berry & Maria Fernandez & Nichar Gregory & Kacey C. Ernst & Mary H. Hayden & Maria Diuk-Wasser, 2025. "Simple Stated Preference Questions Can Enhance Transdisciplinary Projects: Linking Perceived Risks With Willingness to Spray and Pay," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 88(1), pages 81-124, January.
    3. Christian Langpap & JunJie Wu, 2021. "Preemptive Incentives and Liability Rules for Wildfire Risk Management," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(5), pages 1783-1801, October.
    4. Travis Warziniack & Patricia Champ & James Meldrum & Hannah Brenkert-Smith & Christopher M. Barth & Lilia C. Falk, 2019. "Responding to Risky Neighbors: Testing for Spatial Spillover Effects for Defensible Space in a Fire-Prone WUI Community," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 73(4), pages 1023-1047, August.
    5. Kim, Taeyoung & Langpap, Christian, 2016. "Agricultural landowners’ response to incentives for afforestation," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 93-111.
    6. Minas, James P. & Hearne, John W. & Martell, David L., 2014. "A spatial optimisation model for multi-period landscape level fuel management to mitigate wildfire impacts," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 412-422.
    7. Christopher Costello & Nicolas Querou & Agnès Tomini, 2014. "Spatial concessions with limited tenure," Post-Print hal-01123392, HAL.
    8. Lauer, Christopher J. & Montgomery, Claire A. & Dietterich, Thomas G., 2017. "Spatial interactions and optimal forest management on a fire-threatened landscape," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 107-120.
    9. Sims, Charles & Aadland, David & Finnoff, David, 2010. "A dynamic bioeconomic analysis of mountain pine beetle epidemics," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(12), pages 2407-2419, December.
    10. James Minas & John Hearne & David Martell, 2015. "An integrated optimization model for fuel management and fire suppression preparedness planning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 232(1), pages 201-215, September.
    11. Gwenlyn M. Busby & Heidi J. Albers & Claire A. Montgomery, 2012. "Wildfire Risk Management in a Landscape with Fragmented Ownership and Spatial Interactions," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 88(3), pages 496-517.
    12. Kim Meyer Hall & Heidi J. Albers & Majid Alkaee Taleghan & Thomas G. Dietterich, 2018. "Optimal Spatial-Dynamic Management of Stochastic Species Invasions," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 70(2), pages 403-427, June.
    13. Susete Marques & Marco Marto & Vladimir Bushenkov & Marc McDill & JoséG. Borges, 2017. "Addressing Wildfire Risk in Forest Management Planning with Multiple Criteria Decision Making Methods," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-17, February.
    14. Charles Sims & David Aadland & David Finnoff & James Powell, 2013. "How Ecosystem Service Provision Can Increase Forest Mortality from Insect Outbreaks," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 89(1), pages 154-176.
    15. Prante, Tyler & Little, Joseph M. & Jones, Michael L. & McKee, Michael & Berrens, Robert P., 2011. "Inducing private wildfire risk mitigation: Experimental investigation of measures on adjacent public lands," Journal of Forest Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(4), pages 415-431.
    16. Rossi, David & Kuusela, Olli-Pekka, 2023. "Carbon and Timber Management in Western Oregon under Tax-Financed Investments in Wildfire Risk Mitigation," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 48(2), May.
    17. Alvelos, Filipe & Martins, Isabel & Marques, Susete, 2025. "Forest management with fire simulation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 321(3), pages 991-1003.
    18. Rashidi, Eghbal & Medal, Hugh & Gordon, Jason & Grala, Robert & Varner, Morgan, 2017. "A maximal covering location-based model for analyzing the vulnerability of landscapes to wildfires: Assessing the worst-case scenario," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 258(3), pages 1095-1105.
    19. Michael S. Hand & Matthew J. Wibbenmeyer & David E. Calkin & Matthew P. Thompson, 2015. "Risk Preferences, Probability Weighting, and Strategy Tradeoffs in Wildfire Management," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(10), pages 1876-1891, October.
    20. Bhuiyan, Tanveer Hossain & Moseley, Maxwell C. & Medal, Hugh R. & Rashidi, Eghbal & Grala, Robert K., 2019. "A stochastic programming model with endogenous uncertainty for incentivizing fuel reduction treatment under uncertain landowner behavior," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 277(2), pages 699-718.
    21. Shady S. Atallah & Miguel I. Gómez & Jon M. Conrad, 2017. "Specification of Spatial-Dynamic Externalities and Implications for Strategic Behavior in Disease Control," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 93(2), pages 209-229.
    22. David Aadland & Charles Sims & David Finnoff, 2015. "Spatial Dynamics of Optimal Management in Bioeconomic Systems," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 45(4), pages 545-577, April.
    23. Wang, Yuhan & Lewis, David J., 2024. "Wildfires and climate change have lowered the economic value of western U.S. forests by altering risk expectations," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    24. Warziniack, Travis & Sims, Charles & Haas, Jessica, 2019. "Fire and the joint production of ecosystem services: A spatial-dynamic optimization approach," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 1-1.

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    JEL classification:

    • Q23 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Forestry

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