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Extensions of the Constant-Market-Shares Analysis with an Application to Long-term Export Data of Developing Countries

In: The Balance between Industry and Agriculture in Economic Development


  • C. J. Jepma

    (University of Gröningen)


The aggregate of exports of individual developing countries is generally considered a crucial variable in development processes. Hence, a wave of studies appeared from the 1950s on, trying to explain differences in export performance between countries, and to relate exports to other economic variables (Michalopoulos and Jay, 1973; Chenery and Syrquin, 1975; Michaely, 1977; Krueger, 1978; Balassa, 1978 and 1979; Chenery, 1980; Lewis, 1980; Jepma, 1986, to give just some examples). Most of the studies explaining differences in export performance employed macroeconomic trade data. They started from the assumption that export performance should be judged on the basis of the deviation between actual export performance and the ‘normal’ performance, the latter being defined as the change in total exports which would have materialised had export growth equalled the corresponding rate of a reference group. The latter usually consists of either the group of competing countries or the world total. The deviation was subsequently explained by relative competitiveness.

Suggested Citation

  • C. J. Jepma, 1989. "Extensions of the Constant-Market-Shares Analysis with an Application to Long-term Export Data of Developing Countries," International Economic Association Series, in: Jeffrey G. Williamson & Vadiraj R. Panchamukhi (ed.), The Balance between Industry and Agriculture in Economic Development, chapter 6, pages 129-143, Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:intecp:978-1-349-19746-0_6
    DOI: 10.1007/978-1-349-19746-0_6

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    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Zhichao & Feng, Yuanhua, 2013. "Modeling of the impact of the financial crisis and China's accession to WTO on China's exports to Germany," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 474-483.
    2. Shuai, Jing & Chen, Chien-fei & Cheng, Jinhua & Leng, Zhihui & Wang, Zihan, 2018. "Are China's solar PV products competitive in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 559-568.
    3. Guo, Zhichao & Feng, Yuanhua & Tan, Xiangyong, 2011. "Short- and long-term impact of remarkable economic events on the growth causes of China–Germany trade in agri-food products," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 2359-2368.
    4. Zhichao Guo & Yuanhua Feng & Xiangyong Tan, 2011. "Impact of China's accession to WTO and the financial crisis on China's exports to Germany," Working Papers CIE 36, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.
    5. Yuanhua Feng & Zhichao Guo & Christian Peitz, 2014. "A Tree-form Constant Market Share Model for Growth Causes in International Trade Based on Multi-level Classification," Journal of Industry, Competition and Trade, Springer, vol. 14(2), pages 207-228, June.
    6. Liu, Yan & Shi, Xunpeng & Laurenceson, James, 2020. "Dynamics of Australia's LNG export performance: A modified constant market shares analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    7. Kumar, K. Nirmal Ravi, 2022. "Competitiveness of Indian Agricultural Exports: A Constant Market Share Analysis," Research on World Agricultural Economy, Nan Yang Academy of Sciences Pte Ltd (NASS), vol. 3(2), May.
    8. Shuai, Jing & Peng, Xinjie & Zhao, Yujia & Wang, Yilan & Xu, Wei & Cheng, Jinhua & Lu, Yang & Wang, Jingjin, 2022. "A dynamic evaluation on the international competitiveness of China's rare earth products: An industrial chain and tech-innovation perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    9. Wang, Zheng-Xin & Zheng, Hong-Hao & Pei, Ling-Ling & Jin, Tong, 2017. "Decomposition of the factors influencing export fluctuation in China's new energy industry based on a constant market share model," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 22-35.


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