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Sebastien Fries

Personal Details

First Name:Sebastien
Middle Name:
Last Name:Fries
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pfr381
[This author has chosen not to make the email address public]

Affiliation

(50%) École Nationale de la Statistique et de l'Admnistration Économique (ENSAE)
Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique (GENES)

Paris, France
http://www.ensae.fr/
RePEc:edi:ensaefr (more details at EDIRC)

(50%) Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST)

Palaiseau, France
http://crest.science/
RePEc:edi:crestfr (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Marina Friedrich & S'ebastien Fries & Michael Pahle & Ottmar Edenhofer, 2019. "Understanding the explosive trend in EU ETS prices -- fundamentals or speculation?," Papers 1906.10572, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
  2. Fries, Sébastien, 2018. "Conditional moments of noncausal alpha-stable processes and the prediction of bubble crash odds," MPRA Paper 97353, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2019.
  3. Fries, Sébastien & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2017. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal AR Processes and the Modelling of Explosive Bubbles," MPRA Paper 81345, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  4. S. Fries & J.-S. Mésonnier & S. Mouabbi & J.-P. Renne, 2016. "National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the Euro Area," Working papers 611, Banque de France.

Articles

  1. Fries, Sébastien & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2019. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Ar Processes And The Modelling Of Explosive Bubbles," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(6), pages 1234-1270, December.
  2. Sébastien Fries & Jean‐Stéphane Mésonnier & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2018. "National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the euro area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 763-779, September.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Wikipedia or ReplicationWiki mentions

(Only mentions on Wikipedia that link back to a page on a RePEc service)
  1. Sébastien Fries & Jean‐Stéphane Mésonnier & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2018. "National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the euro area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 763-779, September.

    Mentioned in:

    1. National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the euro area (Journal of Applied Econometrics 2018 ) in ReplicationWiki ()

Working papers

  1. Marina Friedrich & S'ebastien Fries & Michael Pahle & Ottmar Edenhofer, 2019. "Understanding the explosive trend in EU ETS prices -- fundamentals or speculation?," Papers 1906.10572, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.

    Cited by:

    1. Rafaty, R. & Dolphin, G. & Pretis, F., 2020. "Carbon pricing and the elasticity of CO2 emissions," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 20116, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    2. Tietjen, Oliver & Lessmann, Kai & Pahle, Michael, 2021. "Hedging and temporal permit issuances in cap-and-trade programs: The Market Stability Reserve under risk aversion," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    3. Edenhofer, Ottmar & Flachsland, Christian & Kalkuhl, Matthias & Knopf, Brigitte & Pahle, Michael, 2019. "Optionen für eine CO2-Preisreform," Working Papers 04/2019, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
    4. Friedrich, Marina & Mauer, Eva-Maria & Pahle, Michael & Tietjen, Oliver, 2020. "From fundamentals to financial assets: the evolution of understanding price formation in the EU ETS," EconStor Preprints 225210, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.

  2. Fries, Sébastien, 2018. "Conditional moments of noncausal alpha-stable processes and the prediction of bubble crash odds," MPRA Paper 97353, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2019.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Gourieroux & Andrew Hencic & Joann Jasiak, 2021. "Forecast performance and bubble analysis in noncausal MAR(1, 1) processes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 301-326, March.

  3. Fries, Sébastien & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2017. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal AR Processes and the Modelling of Explosive Bubbles," MPRA Paper 81345, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Christian Gourieroux & Andrew Hencic & Joann Jasiak, 2021. "Forecast performance and bubble analysis in noncausal MAR(1, 1) processes," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 301-326, March.
    2. Gianluca Cubadda & Alain Hecq & Sean Telg, 2018. "Detecting Co-Movements in Noncausal Time Series," CEIS Research Paper 430, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Apr 2018.
    3. Fries, Sébastien, 2018. "Conditional moments of noncausal alpha-stable processes and the prediction of bubble crash odds," MPRA Paper 97353, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Nov 2019.
    4. Christian Gourieroux & Joann Jasiak & Michelle Tong, 2021. "Convolution‐based filtering and forecasting: An application to WTI crude oil prices," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1230-1244, November.
    5. Hecq, Alain & Voisin, Elisa, 2021. "Forecasting bubbles with mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 29-45.
    6. Frédérique Bec & Alain Guay, 2020. "A simple unit root test consistent against any stationary alternative," Working Papers halshs-03010256, HAL.
    7. Frédérique Bec & Heino Bohn Nielsen & Sarra Saïdi, 2020. "Mixed Causal–Noncausal Autoregressions: Bimodality Issues in Estimation and Unit Root Testing," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(6), pages 1413-1428, December.
    8. Alain Hecq & Elisa Voisin, 2019. "Predicting bubble bursts in oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic with mixed causal-noncausal models," Papers 1911.10916, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    9. Francesco Giancaterini & Alain Hecq, 2020. "Inference in mixed causal and noncausal models with generalized Student's t-distributions," Papers 2012.01888, arXiv.org.
    10. Jean-Baptiste MICHAU, 2019. "Helicopter Drops of Money under Secular Stagnation," Working Papers 2019-10, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    11. Marina Friedrich & Sébastien Fries & Michael Pahle & Ottmar Edenhofer, 2020. "Rules vs. Discretion in Cap-and-Trade Programs: Evidence from the EU Emission Trading System," CESifo Working Paper Series 8637, CESifo.
    12. Alain Hecq & Li Sun, 2019. "Identification of Noncausal Models by Quantile Autoregressions," Papers 1904.05952, arXiv.org.
    13. Alain Hecq & Sean Telg & Lenard Lieb, 2017. "Do Seasonal Adjustments Induce Noncausal Dynamics in Inflation Rates?," Econometrics, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 5(4), pages 1-22, October.
    14. Kramkov, Viacheslav & Maksimov, Andrey, 2020. "Loan market markups and noncausal autoregressions," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 60, pages 48-69.
    15. Francisco (F.) Blasques & Siem Jan (S.J.) Koopman & Marc Nientker, 2018. "A Time-Varying Parameter Model for Local Explosions," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 18-088/III, Tinbergen Institute.

  4. S. Fries & J.-S. Mésonnier & S. Mouabbi & J.-P. Renne, 2016. "National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the Euro Area," Working papers 611, Banque de France.

    Cited by:

    1. Victor Bystrov, 2018. "Measuring the Natural Rates of Interest in Germany and Italy," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 10(4), pages 333-353, December.
    2. Aeimit Lakdawala & Michael Bauer & Philippe Mueller, 2019. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," 2019 Meeting Papers 1403, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    3. Beyer, Robert & Milivojevic, Lazar, 2021. "Dynamics and synchronization of global equilibrium interest rates," IMFS Working Paper Series 146, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
    4. Efrem Castelnuovo & Trung Duc Tran, 2017. "Google It Up! A Google Trends-based Uncertainty Index for the United States and Australia," CESifo Working Paper Series 6695, CESifo.
    5. Tomas Reichenbachas & Linas Jurkšas & Rokas Kaminskas, 2021. "Natural real rates of interest across Euro area countries: Are R-stars getting closer together?," Bank of Lithuania Discussion Paper Series 24, Bank of Lithuania.
    6. Hofmann, Boris & Lombardi, Marco & Mojon, Benoit & Orphanides, Athanasios, 2021. "Fiscal and monetary policy interactions in a low interest rate world," CEPR Discussion Papers 16411, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    7. M. Marx & B. Mojon & F. Velde, 2017. "Why Have Interest Rates Fallen far Below the Return on Capital," Working papers 630, Banque de France.
    8. Emmanuel Joel Aikins Abakah & Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2020. "Economic Policy Uncertainty: Persistence and Cross-Country Linkages," CESifo Working Paper Series 8289, CESifo.
    9. Klodiana Istrefi & Sarah Mouabbi, 2017. "Subjective interest rate uncertainty and the macroeconomy : a cross-country analysis," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 48, september.
    10. Chen, Jiaqian & Finocchiaro, Daria & Lindé, Jesper & Walentin, Karl, 2020. "The costs of macroprudential deleveraging in a liquidity trap," Working Paper Series 389, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    11. Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sayg�n Sahinoz, 2018. "Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy," Working Papers 1806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    12. Peter Tillmann, 2018. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and the Response of the Yield Curve to Policy Shocks," GRU Working Paper Series GRU_2018_004, City University of Hong Kong, Department of Economics and Finance, Global Research Unit.
    13. Zhou, Siwen, 2018. "Measuring the Signaling Effect of the ECB’s Asset Purchase Programme at the Effective Lower Bound," MPRA Paper 87084, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Klodiana Istrefi & Anamaria Piloiu, 2020. "Public Opinion on Central Banks when Economic Policy is Uncertain," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 130(2), pages 283-306.
    15. Oguzhan Cepni & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Ahmet Sensoy, 2020. "Interest Rate Uncertainty and the Predictability of Bank Revenues," Working Papers 202040, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    16. Efrem Castelnuovo, 2019. "Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data," "Marco Fanno" Working Papers 0234, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche "Marco Fanno".
    17. Enrique Martinez-Garcia, 2020. "Get the Lowdown: The International Side of the Fall in the U.S. Natural Rate of Interest," Globalization Institute Working Papers 403, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, revised 20 Feb 2021.
    18. Narayan Bulusu & Pierre Guérin, 2018. "What Drives Interbank Loans? Evidence from Canada," Staff Working Papers 18-5, Bank of Canada.
    19. Francois Velde & Benoït Mojon & Magali Marx, 2016. "Why are real interest rates so low?," 2016 Meeting Papers 1581, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    20. Matthew W. Clance & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kweku Kyei, 2020. "Predicting Firm-Level Volatility in the United States: The Role of Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 202007, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    21. Mengheng Li & Irma Hindrayanto, 2018. "Looking for the stars: Estimating the natural rate of interest," Working Paper Series 51, Economics Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    22. Yosuke Okazaki & Nao Sudo, 2018. "Natural Rate of Interest in Japan -- Measuring its size and identifying drivers based on a DSGE model --," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-6, Bank of Japan.
    23. Stefano Neri & Andrea Gerali, 2017. "Natural rates across the Atlantic," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1140, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    24. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
    25. Etienne Vaccaro-Grange, 2019. "Quantitative Easing and the Term Premium as a Monetary Policy Instrument," Working Papers halshs-02359503, HAL.
    26. Nicolas Himounet, 2021. "Searching for the Nature of Uncertainty: Macroeconomic VS Financial," Working Papers 2021.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    27. Bystrov Victor, 2018. "Measuring the Natural Rates of Interest in Germany and Italy," Lodz Economics Working Papers 7/2018, University of Lodz, Faculty of Economics and Sociology.
    28. COMUNALE Mariarosaria & STRIAUKAS Jonas, 2017. "Unconventional monetary olicy: interest rates and low inflation. A review of literature and methods," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2017026, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    29. Doojav, Gan-Ochir & Gantumur, Munkhbayar, 2020. "Measuring the natural rate of interest in a commodity exporting economy: Evidence from Mongolia," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 199-218.
    30. Nicolas Himounet & Francisco Serranito & Julien Vauday, 2021. "Uncertainty is bad for Business. Really?," Working Papers 2021.03, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    31. Julio A. Carrillo & Rocio Elizondo & Cid Alonso Rodríguez-Pérez & Jessica Roldán-Peña, 2018. "What Determines the Neutral Rate of Interest in an Emerging Economy?," Working Papers 2018-22, Banco de México.
    32. Liu, Yang & Sheng, Xuguang Simon, 2019. "The measurement and transmission of macroeconomic uncertainty: Evidence from the U.S. and BRIC countries," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 967-979.
    33. Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    34. Magnus Reif, 2021. "Time-Varying Dynamics of the German Business Cycle: A Comprehensive Investigation," CESifo Working Paper Series 9271, CESifo.
    35. Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Jacobus A Nel & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty Spillovers in Time- and Frequency-Domains," Working Papers 202005, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    36. Zhang, Ren & Martínez-García, Enrique & Wynne, Mark A. & Grossman, Valerie, 2021. "Ties that bind: Estimating the natural rate of interest for small open economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    37. Brand, Claus & Bielecki, Marcin & Penalver, Adrian, 2018. "The natural rate of interest: estimates, drivers, and challenges to monetary policy JEL Classification: E52, E43," Occasional Paper Series 217, European Central Bank.
    38. Lakdawala, Aeimit & Moreland, Timothy & Schaffer, Matthew, 2020. "The International Spillover Effects of US Monetary Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers 2020-8, Michigan State University, Department of Economics.
    39. Pikhart Zdeněk & Froňková Pavla, 2019. "Estimating Natural Rate of Interest and Equilibrium Exchange Rate: A Case of the Czech Republic," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 19(4), pages 231-248, December.
    40. Maria Sole Pagliari, 2021. "Does one (unconventional) size fit all? Effects of the ECB's unconventional monetary policies on the euro area economies," Working papers 829, Banque de France.
    41. Beckmann, Joscha, 2021. "Measurement and effects of euro/dollar exchange rate uncertainty," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 773-790.
    42. B. De Backer & J. Wauters, 2017. "The cyclical and structural determinants of the low interest rate environment," Economic Review, National Bank of Belgium, issue ii, pages 69-86, september.
    43. Tibor Hledik & Jan Vlcek, 2018. "Quantifying the Natural Rate of Interest in a Small Open Economy - The Czech Case," Working Papers 2018/7, Czech National Bank.
    44. Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro & Jean-Paul Renne & Guillaume Roussellet, 2017. "Staying at zero with affine processes : an application to term structure modelling," Rue de la Banque, Banque de France, issue 52, november.
    45. Elie Bouri & Konstantinos Gkillas & Rangan Gupta & Clement Kyei, 2019. "Monetary Policy Uncertainty and Volatility Jumps in Advanced Equity Markets," Working Papers 201939, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    46. Belke, Ansgar & Klose, Jens, 2020. "Equilibrium real interest rates and the financial cycle: Empirical evidence for Euro area member countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 357-366.
    47. Rasa Stasiukynaite, 2017. "Understanding Monetary Policy Stance," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 14, Bank of Lithuania.
    48. Eric Jondeau & Benoit Mojon & Jean-Guillaume Sahuc, 2020. "Bank Funding Cost and Liquidity Supply Regimes," BIS Working Papers 854, Bank for International Settlements.
    49. Arce-Alfaro, Gabriel & Blagov, Boris, 2021. "Monetary policy uncertainty and inflation expectations," Ruhr Economic Papers 899, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.

Articles

  1. Fries, Sébastien & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 2019. "Mixed Causal-Noncausal Ar Processes And The Modelling Of Explosive Bubbles," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(6), pages 1234-1270, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Sébastien Fries & Jean‐Stéphane Mésonnier & Sarah Mouabbi & Jean‐Paul Renne, 2018. "National natural rates of interest and the single monetary policy in the euro area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(6), pages 763-779, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

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Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 4 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-ECM: Econometrics (2) 2017-09-24 2020-01-13. Author is listed
  2. NEP-ETS: Econometric Time Series (2) 2017-09-24 2020-01-13. Author is listed
  3. NEP-ORE: Operations Research (2) 2017-09-24 2020-01-13. Author is listed
  4. NEP-ENE: Energy Economics (1) 2019-07-15. Author is listed
  5. NEP-ENV: Environmental Economics (1) 2019-07-15. Author is listed
  6. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (1) 2017-01-22. Author is listed
  7. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (1) 2017-01-22. Author is listed
  8. NEP-REG: Regulation (1) 2019-07-15. Author is listed
  9. NEP-RMG: Risk Management (1) 2020-01-13. Author is listed

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