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La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Impactos en el sector agropecuario

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  • CEPAL

Author

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  • Valencia, Horacio
  • Andersen, Lykke E.
  • Jemio Mollinedo, Luis Carlos

Abstract

El cambio climático que ocurriría durante el siglo XXI va a afectar al sector agropecuario en Bolivia en muchas diferentes maneras. En el presente estudio se analizanno solo los efectos brutos iniciales del cambio climático sobre los rendimientos agrícolas, sino también los efectos netos permitiendo que ocurra una adaptación espontánea a través de la sustitución de cultivos. Adicionalmente, se incluye el efecto de la fertilización de CO2, el efecto de aumentos en la frecuencia de eventos extremos, el efecto de cambios en el nivel de biodiversidad y servicios eco-sistémicos que sostienen el sector, y el efecto de cambios en la disponibilidad de agua para riego. Finalmente, además de estos efectos directos se estiman los efectos indirectos y dinámicos usando un modelo de equilibrio general computable que realiza simulaciones hasta el año 2100.

Suggested Citation

  • Valencia, Horacio & Andersen, Lykke E. & Jemio Mollinedo, Luis Carlos, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Impactos en el sector agropecuario," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39834 edited by Cepal.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col013:39834
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep & Mendelsohn, Robert, 2008. "A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on African cropland," African Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, African Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 2(1), pages 1-23, March.
    2. Andersen, Lykke E., 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Impactos sobre la biodiversidad," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39835 edited by Cepal.
    3. De Miguel, Carlos J. & Andersen, Lykke E. & Jemio Mollinedo, Luis Carlos & Ludeña, Carlos & Pereira, Mauricio, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Estimación de impactos en equilibrio general," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39830 edited by Cepal.
    4. Andrade, Marcos, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Validación de Modelos Climáticos," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39829 edited by Cepal.
    5. Calvo, Nashira, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Cambios en la demanda hídrica," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39832 edited by Cepal.
    6. Seo, Niggol & Mendelsohn, Robert, 2007. "A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on Latin American farms," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4163, The World Bank.
    7. Seo, S. Niggol & Mendelsohn, Robert, 2008. "An analysis of crop choice: Adapting to climate change in South American farms," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(1), pages 109-116, August.
    8. Rolando Morales & Erwing Galoppo & Luis Carlos Jemio M. & María Carmen Choque & Natasha Morales, 2000. "Bolivia: Geografía y desarrollo económico," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 7608, Inter-American Development Bank.
    9. Arenas, Juan C., 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Impactos de eventos extremos sobre infraestructura y producción agropecuaria," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39833 edited by Cepal.
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    1. Andersen, Lykke E., 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Impactos sobre la biodiversidad," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39835 edited by Cepal.
    2. De Miguel, Carlos J. & Andersen, Lykke E. & Jemio Mollinedo, Luis Carlos & Ludeña, Carlos & Pereira, Mauricio, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Estimación de impactos en equilibrio general," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39830 edited by Cepal.
    3. Escalante, Luis Enrique & Maisonnave, Helene, 2022. "Impacts of climate disasters on women and food security in Bolivia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    4. Luis Enrique Escalante & Helene Maisonnave, 2023. "Assessing the impacts of climate change on women's poverty: A Bolivian case study," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(5), pages 884-896, July.
    5. Arenas, Juan C., 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Impactos de eventos extremos sobre infraestructura y producción agropecuaria," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39833 edited by Cepal.
    6. Calvo, Nashira, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Cambios en la demanda hídrica," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39832 edited by Cepal.
    7. De Ferari, Paolo & Molina, Oscar, 2014. "La economía del cambio climático en Bolivia: Impactos en salud," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 39837 edited by Cepal.

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