IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/zib/zbsfna/v4y2023i1p20-27.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Future Status of Egyptian Date Palm After The 2.5 Million Palm Trees-National Project.The Future Status of Egyptian Date Palm After The 2.5 Million Palm Trees-National Project

Author

Listed:
  • Assem A. A. Mohamed

    (Central Laboratory for Agricultural Climate (CLAC), Agricultural Research Centre, Giza, Egypt)

  • Mahmoued A. Medany

    (Horticulture Research Institute, Agricultural Research Centre, Giza, Egypt)

  • Mohamed A. Attala

    (Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agriculture Research Centre, Giza, Egypt)

  • Mona H. G. Ali

    (Agricultural Economics Research Institute, Agriculture Research Centre, Giza, Egypt)

Abstract

Egypt stands at first place among the largest dates producing countries in the world with around 18 percent of global production in 2021. Despite its large production, Egypt accounts for less than 3 percent world exports of dates. In Egypt, dates are grown at 1.17 million acre, with 1.65 million tonnes of production. This paper examines the changing in the date sector in Egypt after the national project for the date palm cultivation; the project aims to increase 2.5 million palms from different export date palm cultivars. Several measures are used in assessing the country’s competitiveness. The competitiveness of Egypt’s date exports with 2.5 million palm national project and without 2.5 million palm national project in the four largest markets (Morocco, Indonesia, Malaysia and Bangladesh) were estimated during the period 2030- 2034. The results confirm that the expected market share of Egypt in the world’s total imports decreased from about 2.40 percent in 2022 to reach about 1.63 percent in 2034 in the business-as-usual scenario Moreover, the results show that calculated Egypt’s share of the global market during the period (2022-2034) will reach about 1.93 percent under business as usual scenario. On the other hand, it is anticipated that during the period (2030-2034) Egypt’s share of the global market will reach about 10.34 percent in case all total production of the 2.5 million date palm programme is going to be directed entirely to trading, compared to 6.02 percent in case only half of the 2.5 million date palm programme total production is going to be directed entirely to trading. In addition to the above, the results reveal that Egypt has a significant comparative advantage for export dates to the international markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Assem A. A. Mohamed & Mahmoued A. Medany & Mohamed A. Attala & Mona H. G. Ali, 2023. "The Future Status of Egyptian Date Palm After The 2.5 Million Palm Trees-National Project.The Future Status of Egyptian Date Palm After The 2.5 Million Palm Trees-National Project," Sustainability in Food and Agriculture (SFNA), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 4(1), pages 20-27, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:zib:zbsfna:v:4:y:2023:i:1:p:20-27
    DOI: 10.26480/sfna.01.2023.20.27
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://sfna.org.my/archives/1sfna2023/1sfna2023-20-27.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.26480/sfna.01.2023.20.27?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Linnemann, H. & Beers, C.P., 1987. "Measures of export-import similarity, and the Linder hypothesis once again," Serie Research Memoranda 0030, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    2. Arye Hillman, 1980. "Observations on the relation between “revealed comparative advantage” and comparative advantage as indicated by pre-trade relative prices," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 116(2), pages 315-321, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pakravan, Mohammad Reza & Kalashami, Mohammad Kavoosi, 2011. "Future prospects of Iran, U.S and Turkey's Pistachio exports," International Journal of Agricultural Management and Development (IJAMAD), Iranian Association of Agricultural Economics, vol. 1(3), pages 1-8, September.
    2. Md. Monzur Hossain & Ankur Sarkar, 2025. "Bimstec’S Incipient Competitive Advantage And Trade Specialisation In Raw Sugar," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 70(244), pages 57-86, January –.
    3. Umar Fachrudin & Fithra Faisal Hastiadi, 2016. "Impact Analysis of Normalized Revealed Comparative Advantageon ASEAN’s Non-Oil and Gas Export Pattern Using Gravity-Model Approach," Working Papers in Economics and Business 201603, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, revised May 2016.
    4. Andrea Brasili & Paolo Epifani & Rodolfo Helg, 1999. "On the dynamics of trade patterns," LIUC Papers in Economics 61, Cattaneo University (LIUC).
    5. Beers, C.P. & Linneman, H., 1988. "Commodity composition of trade in manufactures, and south-south trade potential," Serie Research Memoranda 0006, VU University Amsterdam, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Econometrics.
    6. Jeroen Hinloopen & Charles Marrewijk, 2001. "On the empirical distribution of the Balassa index," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 137(1), pages 1-35, March.
    7. Ross D. Weiner & Trevor Roxo & Mitchell Kellman, 2008. "South Africa's Manufactured International Trade in the Post-Sanctions Epoch: Patterns and Potentials," The American Economist, Sage Publications, vol. 52(1), pages 86-95, March.
    8. Zeynep Aktaş Çimen & Didem Kutlu & Kazım Sarıçoban & Utku Ongun, 2024. "The Competitiveness of Turkish Tourism in the Global Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(24), pages 1-18, December.
    9. Fertő, Imre & Hubbard, Lionel J., 2005. "Az agrárkereskedelem dinamikája - A csatlakozó országok esete [The dynamics of agri-food trade patterns - the accession countries case]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(1), pages 24-38.
    10. Sayeeda Bano & Nawal K. Paswan, 2016. "New Zealand–India Trade Relations and Growth Potential: An Empirical Analysis," India Quarterly: A Journal of International Affairs, , vol. 72(1), pages 50-74, March.
    11. Fabio Bertoni & Massimo G. Colombo & Anita Quas & Francesca Tenca, 2019. "The changing patterns of venture capital investments in Europe," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 46(2), pages 229-250, June.
    12. Möllers, Judith & Zier, Patrick & Frohberg, Klaus & Buchenrieder, Gertrud & Bojnec, Štefan, 2009. "Croatia's EU accession: socio-economic assessment of farm households and policy recommendations," Studies on the Agricultural and Food Sector in Transition Economies, Leibniz Institute of Agricultural Development in Transition Economies (IAMO), volume 48, number 53665.
    13. Li, Kui-Wai & Bender, Seigfried, 2007. "Productivity and Manufacture Export Causality among World Regions: 1989-1999," MPRA Paper 36420, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. repec:diw:diwwpp:dp123 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Cole, Matthew A. & Elliott, Robert J.R. & Shimamoto, Kenichi, 2005. "Why the grass is not always greener: the competing effects of environmental regulations and factor intensities on US specialization," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 95-109, July.
    16. Thomas Vollrath, 1991. "A theoretical evaluation of alternative trade intensity measures of revealed comparative advantage," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 127(2), pages 265-280, June.
    17. Ufuk Gunes Bebek, 2011. "Stability, Specialisation and Divergence in Export Patterns for EU15," Studies in Economics 1122, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    18. Jámbor, Attila, 2011. "Az agrárkereskedelem változása Magyarország és az Európai Unió között a csatlakozás után [The post-accession change in agricultural trading between Hungary and the EU]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(9), pages 775-791.
    19. Štefan Bojnec & Imre Fertő, 2008. "European Enlargement and Agro‐Food Trade," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 56(4), pages 563-579, December.
    20. Caleb Stroup & Ben Zissimos, 2017. "Pampered Bureaucracy, Political Stability and Trade Integration," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 425-450, August.
    21. Harald Trabold, 1995. "Die internationale Wettbewerbsfähigkeit einer Volkswirtschaft," Vierteljahrshefte zur Wirtschaftsforschung / Quarterly Journal of Economic Research, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 64(2), pages 169-185.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zib:zbsfna:v:4:y:2023:i:1:p:20-27. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Zibeline International Publishing The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Zibeline International Publishing to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://sfna.org.my/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.