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I’m still here. Elektorale Erfolgsbedingungen der NPD in Gemeinden Sachsens
[I’m still here. Conditions of electoral success of the National Democratic Party of Germany in Saxon municipalities]

Author

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  • Melcher, Reinhold

Abstract

Aufgrund des rasanten Aufstiegs der AfD wird der NPD sowohl in der Öffentlichkeit als auch in der Forschung mittlerweile nur noch selten Aufmerksamkeit zuteil. Häufig vernachlässigt wird allerdings, dass die NPD auf Gemeindeebene nach wie vor vertreten und auch elektoral erfolgreich ist. Jedoch nicht überall gleichermaßen. Auf Basis eines most-similar-case-designs untersucht der Beitrag daher die Erfolgsbedingungen der NPD in sächsischen Gemeinden zur Bundestagwahl 2013. Unter Verwendung von Aggregatdaten von 438 sächsischen Gemeinden und mittels räumlicher Fehlermodelle werden insgesamt 14 Hypothesen getestet, die drei Gruppen von Erklärungsfaktoren entstammen: kulturelle demand-side, materialistische demand-side sowie interne supply-side-Faktoren. Die empirischen Analysen zeigen, dass kulturelle Erklärungsfaktoren den Stimmenanteil der NPD am stärksten beeinflussen, wohingegen die Wirkung materialistischer Gemeindefaktoren durch Drittvariablen konditioniert wird. Insgesamt verdeutlichen die Ergebnisse, dass die NPD im Wesentlichen von günstigen kommunalen Rahmenbedingungen profitiert und nur im begrenzten Maße Einfluss auf den eigenen Wahlerfolg nehmen kann.

Suggested Citation

  • Melcher, Reinhold, 2018. "I’m still here. Elektorale Erfolgsbedingungen der NPD in Gemeinden Sachsens [I’m still here. Conditions of electoral success of the National Democratic Party of Germany in Saxon municipalities]," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(2), pages 365-397.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:225977
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    References listed on IDEAS

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