IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/woraff/v188y2025i4ne70041.html

Limitations of the Indo‐Pacific Economic Framework in Countering China's Economic Power

Author

Listed:
  • Ranti Yulia Wardani
  • Astri Hanna Waruwu

Abstract

Given China's dominance in the Indo‐Pacific region, the United States has made the Indo‐Pacific Economic Framework (IPEF) a key tool in its grand strategy to restrain China's growth. However, the IPEF has not worked well as a framework that can really accomplish its objectives. This study provides a thorough analysis of the IPEF's limitations, starting with its structure, goals, and implementation in comparison to other Chinese policies like the BRI and RCEP. Using the political theory of linkages framework, this study examines the interaction between US domestic policies and international strategies, focusing on the inconsistencies in US trade policy and the inherent structural weaknesses of the IPEF. The results show that the effectiveness of the IPEF as a US strategy to counterbalance China's more consistent and strategic initiatives is questionable, given the nonbinding nature of the IPEF and the lack of economic incentives for member‐states. 鉴于中国在印度‐太平洋地区的主导地位, 美国已将印度‐太平洋经济框架 (IPEF) 作为其遏制中国经济增长的宏大战略的重要工具。然而, IPEF 作为一个框架, 其实际运作效果并不理想, 未能真正实现其目标。本研究深入分析了 IPEF 的局限性, 首先从其结构、目标和实施情况入手, 并与“一带一路”倡议和区域全面经济伙伴关系协定 (RCEP) 等中国其他政策进行了比较。本研究运用政治联系理论框架, 考察了美国国内政策与国际战略之间的相互作用, 重点关注美国贸易政策的不一致性以及 IPEF 固有的结构性弱点。研究结果表明, 鉴于 IPEF 的非约束性以及对成员国缺乏经济激励, IPEF 作为美国制衡中国更具一致性和战略性举措的战略的有效性值得怀疑。 Dado el dominio de China en la región Indopacífica, Estados Unidos ha convertido el Marco Económico Indopacífico (IPEF) en una herramienta clave en su gran estrategia para frenar el crecimiento chino. Sin embargo, el IPEF no ha funcionado adecuadamente como un marco que realmente logre sus objetivos. Este estudio ofrece un análisis exhaustivo de las limitaciones del IPEF, comenzando por su estructura, objetivos e implementación en comparación con otras políticas chinas como la BRI y la RCEP. Utilizando el marco de la teoría política de vínculos, este estudio examina la interacción entre las políticas internas y las estrategias internacionales de EE. UU., centrándose en las inconsistencias de la política comercial estadounidense y las debilidades estructurales inherentes del IPEF. Los resultados muestran que la eficacia del IPEF como estrategia estadounidense para contrarrestar las iniciativas más consistentes y estratégicas de China es cuestionable, dada su naturaleza no vinculante y la falta de incentivos económicos para los Estados miembros.

Suggested Citation

  • Ranti Yulia Wardani & Astri Hanna Waruwu, 2025. "Limitations of the Indo‐Pacific Economic Framework in Countering China's Economic Power," World Affairs, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 188(4), December.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:woraff:v:188:y:2025:i:4:n:e70041
    DOI: 10.1002/waf2.70041
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/waf2.70041
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/waf2.70041?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. repec:ocp:rpecon:pp-19-05 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Marc J. Melitz & Daniel Trefler, 2012. "Gains from Trade When Firms Matter," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 26(2), pages 91-118, Spring.
    3. Marcus Vinicius de Freitas, 2019. "Reform and Opening-up: Chinese Lessons to the World," Research papers & Policy papers on Economic Trends and Policies 1906, Policy Center for the New South.
    4. Bijun Wang & Xiang Li, 2017. "From world factory to world investor: the new way of China integrating into the world," China Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 175-193, May.
    5. Pasquale Marcello Falcone, 2023. "Sustainable Energy Policies in Developing Countries: A Review of Challenges and Opportunities," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-19, September.
    6. Estrades Pineyrua,Carmen & Maliszewska,Maryla & Osorio-Rodarte,Israel & Seara E Pereira,Maria Filipa, 2022. "Estimating the Economic and Distributional Impacts of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9939, The World Bank.
    7. Don MOON, 2022. "IPEF and the Reconfiguration of the East Asian Economic Order," East Asian Policy (EAP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 14(04), pages 42-55, October.
    8. Jinping Zhao, 2021. "Regional Cooperation Mechanisms of the Belt and Road Initiative," Springer Books, in: Reshaping the Economic Cooperation Pattern of the Belt and Road Initiative, chapter 0, pages 33-62, Springer.
    9. de Soyres, François & Mulabdic, Alen & Murray, Siobhan & Rocha, Nadia & Ruta, Michele, 2019. "How much will the Belt and Road Initiative reduce trade costs?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 151-164.
    10. Pompeo Della Posta, 2023. "The Belt and Road Initiative: Inclusive Globalization and Poverty Reduction," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(2), pages 273-288, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Elhanan Helpman, 2014. "Foreign Trade and Investment: Firm-level Perspectives," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 81(321), pages 1-14, January.
    2. Hassan Qudrat-Ullah, 2025. "A Thematic Review of AI and ML in Sustainable Energy Policies for Developing Nations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-26, April.
    3. Dmitri Kirpichev & Enrique Moral-Benito, 2018. "The costs of trade protectionism: evidence from Spanish firms and non-tariff measures," Working Papers 1814, Banco de España.
    4. Stark, Oded & Zawojska, Ewa & Kohler, Wilhelm & Szczygielski, Krzysztof, 2018. "An adverse social welfare effect of a doubly gainful trade," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 77-84.
    5. Chen, Maggie Xiaoyang & Lin, Chuanhao, 2020. "Geographic connectivity and cross-border investment: The Belts, Roads and Skies," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    6. Alice Nicole Sindzingre, 2021. "Economic Relationships Between Sub-Saharan Africa and China: An Alternative Theoretical and Policy Paradigm?," Post-Print halshs-03625159, HAL.
    7. Damoah, Kaku Attah & Giovannetti, Giorgia & Marvasi, Enrico, 2022. "Do country centrality and similarity to China matter in the allocation of belt and road projects?," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 660-674.
    8. Sunitha Raju & V.Raveendra Saradhi, 2019. "Imports from China:Threat or Opportunity Analysis of Indian Manufacturing Sector," Working Papers 1938, Indian Institute of Foreign Trade.
    9. Carlos Cacciuttolo & Ximena Guardia & Eunice Villicaña, 2024. "Implementation of Renewable Energy from Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Facilities in Peru: A Promising Sustainable Future," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-40, May.
    10. Umut Kılınç, 2018. "Assessing Productivity Gains from International Trade in a Small Open Economy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 29(5), pages 953-980, November.
    11. Alexander, Patrick D. & Keay, Ian, 2019. "Responding to the First Era of Globalization: Canadian Trade Policy, 1870–1913," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 79(3), pages 826-861, September.
    12. World Bank, 2020. "South Caucasus and Central Asia - The Belt and Road Initiative," World Bank Publications - Reports 34118, The World Bank Group.
    13. Roy, Jayjit, 2017. "On the environmental consequences of intra-industry trade," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 50-67.
    14. Akin A. Cilekoglu, 2023. ""Labor Market Monopsony and Firm Behavior: Evidence from Spanish Exporters"," IREA Working Papers 202307, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Jul 2023.
    15. Frederico Oliveira Torres, 2019. "Firm heterogeneity and exports in Portugal - Identifying export potential," GEE Papers 0118, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Apr 2019.
    16. Timothy Besley & Thiemo Fetzer & Hannes Mueller, 2026. "How Big Is the Media Multiplier? Evidence from Dyadic News Data," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 108(3), pages 696-711, May.
    17. Christoph March & Ina Schieferdecker, 2021. "Technological Sovereignty as Ability, Not Autarky," CESifo Working Paper Series 9139, CESifo.
    18. Biying Dong & Yingzhi Xu, 2025. "The impact of Chinese government’s attention on inclusive green development: evidence from 253 cities in China," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 27(5), pages 11335-11367, May.
    19. Jésus Fernández-Villaverde & Tomohide Mineyama & Dongho Song & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde, 2024. "Are We Fragmented Yet? Measuring Geopolitical Fragmentation and Its Causal Effects," CESifo Working Paper Series 11192, CESifo.
    20. Anas Rakha & Khadiga El‑Aasar, 2024. "The impact of the belt and road initiative on the Suez Canal cargo trade," Journal of Shipping and Trade, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:woraff:v:188:y:2025:i:4:n:e70041. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.