IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Integrated scenarios for assessing biodiversity risks


  • Joachim H. Spangenberg

    (UFZ, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Germany)


The rapid loss of biodiversity (however measured) constitutes an urgent need to develop policy strategies that reduce the anthropogenic pressures on biodiversity. To go beyond short-term curative measures, such strategies must address the driving forces causing the pressures in an integrated fashion, covering a wide range of policy domains. The development of scenarios and their illustration by modelling are essential tools to study the aggregate human impacts on biodiversity, and to derive well founded policy options to preserve it. However, so far socio-economic, climate and biodiversity models exhibit a wide range of assumptions concerning population development, economic growth and the resulting pressures on biodiversity. This paper summarizes the efforts undertaken in the framework of the ALARM project by an interdisciplinary team of economists, climatologists, land use experts and modellers to identify pressures and drivers, and to derive effective policy strategies. It describes the challenges of such a kind of work, bringing together different world views necessarily inherent to the different fields of investigation, presents preliminary results, indicates necessary policy priorities and suggests urgent issues for future research. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd and ERP Environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Joachim H. Spangenberg, 2007. "Integrated scenarios for assessing biodiversity risks," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(6), pages 343-356.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:sustdv:v:15:y:2007:i:6:p:343-356 DOI: 10.1002/sd.320

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    File Function: Link to full text; subscription required
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Jari Kaivo-oja, 1999. "Alternative scenarios of social development: is analytical sustainability policy analysis possible? How?," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(3), pages 140-150.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)


    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.

    Cited by:

    1. Weimer-Jehle, Wolfgang & Buchgeister, Jens & Hauser, Wolfgang & Kosow, Hannah & Naegler, Tobias & Poganietz, Witold-Roger & Pregger, Thomas & Prehofer, Sigrid & von Recklinghausen, Andreas & Schippl, , 2016. "Context scenarios and their usage for the construction of socio-technical energy scenarios," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 956-970.
    2. repec:eee:ecomod:v:295:y:2015:i:c:p:207-215 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:sustdv:v:15:y:2007:i:6:p:343-356. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Wiley-Blackwell Digital Licensing) or (Christopher F. Baum). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.