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The Pre‐ and Postwar Price‐Output Paradox Revisited

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  • Jason E. Taylor
  • Jinill Kim

Abstract

This article addresses past findings of a change in the sign of the price‐output correlation in the pre‐ and post‐World War II eras. This “paradox” can be resolved by taking into account the changing direction of price movements, deflation to inflation, during the two time periods. There is, in fact, a consistently negative correlation between the absolute value of price level changes and changes in output in both time periods and throughout the entire sample. This finding offers empirical support to economic theories espousing the benefits of price stability.

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  • Jason E. Taylor & Jinill Kim, 2004. "The Pre‐ and Postwar Price‐Output Paradox Revisited," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 71(1), pages 163-169, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:soecon:v:71:y:2004:i:1:p:163-169
    DOI: 10.1002/j.2325-8012.2004.tb00631.x
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    1. Marco Gallegati & Meghnad Desai, 2024. "Stagflation and inflationary regimes: Long cycles in historical perspective," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 709-737, December.

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