IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jfutmk/v40y2020i7p1176-1191.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The impact of trading restrictions and margin requirements on stock index futures

Author

Listed:
  • Jianqiang Hu
  • Tianxiang Wang
  • Wenwei Hu
  • Jun Tong

Abstract

Stock index futures in Chinese market have consistently diverged from their theoretical values. In this paper, we try to provide some explanations by proposing an equilibrium model. Although the model itself does not provide analytical solutions, it enables us to conduct extensive numerical studies and compare them with our empirical results on two major Chinese market indices, CSI300 and SSE50. Our results show that the divergence of stock index futures prices from their theoretical values may be due to various trading and regulatory constraints, such as position limits and margin requirements, which play significant roles in Chinese market.

Suggested Citation

  • Jianqiang Hu & Tianxiang Wang & Wenwei Hu & Jun Tong, 2020. "The impact of trading restrictions and margin requirements on stock index futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1176-1191, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:40:y:2020:i:7:p:1176-1191
    DOI: 10.1002/fut.22111
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22111
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/fut.22111?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Nicolae Gârleanu & Lasse Heje Pedersen, 2011. "Margin-based Asset Pricing and Deviations from the Law of One Price," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(6), pages 1980-2022.
    2. Michael A. Pizzi & Andrew J. Economopoulos & Heather M. O'Neill, 1998. "An examination of the relationship between stock index cash and futures markets: A cointegration approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(3), pages 297-305, May.
    3. Paul Glasserman & Qi Wu, 2018. "Persistence and Procyclicality in Margin Requirements," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 64(12), pages 5705-5724, December.
    4. Cornell, Bradford & French, Kenneth R, 1983. "Taxes and the Pricing of Stock Index Futures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 675-694, June.
    5. Kawaller, Ira G & Koch, Paul D & Koch, Timothy W, 1987. "The Temporal Price Relationship between S&P 500 Futures and the S and P 500 Index," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(5), pages 1309-1329, December.
    6. Robert Jarrow & Philip Protter & Sergio Pulido, 2015. "The Effect Of Trading Futures On Short Sale Constraints," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 311-338, April.
    7. Chen, Nai-Fu & Cuny, Charles J & Haugen, Robert A, 1995. "Stock Volatility and the Levels of the Basis and Open Interest in Future Contracts," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(1), pages 281-300, March.
    8. Bailey, Warren & Stulz, René M., 1989. "The Pricing of Stock Index Options in a General Equilibrium Model," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(1), pages 1-12, March.
    9. Hemler, Michael L. & Longstaff, Francis A., 1991. "General Equilibrium Stock Index Futures Prices: Theory and Empirical Evidence," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(3), pages 287-308, September.
    10. Jarrow, Robert A, 1980. "Heterogeneous Expectations, Restrictions on Short Sales, and Equilibrium Asset Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 35(5), pages 1105-1113, December.
    11. Vesa Puttonen, 1993. "Short sales restrictions and the temporal relationship between stock index cash and derivatives markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 13(6), pages 645-664, September.
    12. Bradford Cornell & Kenneth R. French, 1983. "The pricing of stock index futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
    13. Chan, Kalok, 1992. "A Further Analysis of the Lead-Lag Relationship between the Cash Market and Stock Index Futures Market," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(1), pages 123-152.
    14. Cox, John C. & Ingersoll, Jonathan Jr. & Ross, Stephen A., 1981. "The relation between forward prices and futures prices," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 321-346, December.
    15. Ersoy, Ersan & Çıtak, Levent, 2015. "Intraday Lead-Lag Relationship between Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Markets: Evidence from Turkey," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 6(3), pages 1-18, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Kewei & Xiong, Xiong & Li, Xiao, 2021. "The maturity effect of stock index futures: Speculation or carry arbitrage?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    2. Mikhail V. Zharikov, 2022. "The Model of a Shared Interest Rate for a Group of Countries to Circulate a Digital Currency: Featuring the BRICS," Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, vol. 11(2), pages 187-208.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Chen, Chin-Ho, 2019. "Downside jump risk and the levels of futures-cash basis," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    2. Kim, Bong-Han & Chun, Sun-Eae & Min, Hong-Ghi, 2010. "Nonlinear dynamics in arbitrage of the S&P 500 index and futures: A threshold error-correction model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 566-573, March.
    3. Garry J. Twite, 1993. "Effect of Stochastic Interest Rates on the Pricing of SPI Futures Contracts," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 17(2), pages 259-269, December.
    4. Todd M. Hazelkorn & Tobias J. Moskowitz & Kaushik Vasudevan, 2023. "Beyond Basis Basics: Liquidity Demand and Deviations from the Law of One Price," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 301-345, February.
    5. Janchung Wang, 2009. "Stock market volatility and the forecasting performance of stock index futures," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 277-292.
    6. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    7. Lin Shinn-Juh & Stevenson Maxwell, 2001. "Wavelet Analysis of the Cost-of-Carry Model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, April.
    8. Berglund, T. & Kabir, R., 1995. "What explains the difference between the futures' price and its "fair" value? : evidence from the european options exchange," Other publications TiSEM 323234f7-ff9e-46bb-aa61-7, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    9. Hyun-Jung Ryoo & Graham Smith, 2004. "The impact of stock index futures on the Korean stock market," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(4), pages 243-251.
    10. Jing Hao & Xiong Xiong & Feng He & Feng Ma, 2019. "Price Discovery in the Chinese Stock Index Futures Market," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(13), pages 2982-2996, October.
    11. Bühler, Wolfgang & Kempf, Alexander, 1994. "DAX Index Futures: Mispricing and Arbitrage in German Markets," ZEW Discussion Papers 94-15, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    12. Kumar, Satish, 2018. "Price discovery in emerging currency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 528-536.
    13. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Papadamou, Stephanos & Koulis, Alexandros, 2020. "Price discovery in bitcoin futures," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    14. Giorgio Mirone, 2017. "Inference from the futures: ranking the noise cancelling accuracy of realized measures," CREATES Research Papers 2017-24, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    15. H. Kent Baker & Satish Kumar & Nitesh Pandey, 2021. "Forty years of the Journal of Futures Markets: A bibliometric overview," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1027-1054, July.
    16. Merz, Frederic, 1994. "Dynamic efficiency and price leadership in the DAX-future and the DAX cash market: An empirical investigation," Tübinger Diskussionsbeiträge 36, University of Tübingen, School of Business and Economics.
    17. Naoto Kunitomo & Yong‐Jin Kim, 2007. "Effects Of Stochastic Interest Rates And Volatility On Contingent Claims," The Japanese Economic Review, Japanese Economic Association, vol. 58(1), pages 71-106, March.
    18. Lee, Jaeram & Kang, Jangkoo & Ryu, Doojin, 2015. "Common deviation and regime-dependent dynamics in the index derivatives markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 1-22.
    19. Naoto Kunitomo & Yong-Jin Kim, 2000. "Effects of Stochastic Interest Rates and Volatility on Contingent Claims," CIRJE F-Series CIRJE-F-67, CIRJE, Faculty of Economics, University of Tokyo.
    20. Kapil Gupta & Balwinder Singh, 2007. "Investigating the Pricing Efficiency of Indian Equity Futures Market," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 32(4), pages 486-512, November.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:40:y:2020:i:7:p:1176-1191. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.interscience.wiley.com/jpages/0270-7314/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.