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Intraday Lead-Lag Relationship between Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Markets: Evidence from Turkey

Author

Listed:
  • Ersoy, Ersan

    (Nevşehir University)

  • Çıtak, Levent

    (Erciyes University)

Abstract

In perfectly frictionless and rational markets, spot markets and futures markets should simultaneously reflect new information. However, due to market imperfections, one of these markets may reflect information faster than the other and therefore may lead to the other. This study examines the lead-lag relationship between stock index and stock index futures, in terms of both price and volatility, by using 5 minute data over 2007-2010 period. The findings of this study indicate that a stable long-term relationship between Turkish stock index and stock index futures exists, however stock index futures do not lead stock index and there is a two way interaction between them. Therefore either of the markets is dominant over the other one in the price formation process.

Suggested Citation

  • Ersoy, Ersan & Çıtak, Levent, 2015. "Intraday Lead-Lag Relationship between Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Markets: Evidence from Turkey," Business and Economics Research Journal, Uludag University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 6(3), pages 1-18, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:buecrj:0190
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Jianqiang Hu & Tianxiang Wang & Wenwei Hu & Jun Tong, 2020. "The impact of trading restrictions and margin requirements on stock index futures," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1176-1191, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lead-Lag relationship; price discovery; volatility relationship;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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