IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/jforec/v42y2023i2p260-287.html

Combined water quality forecasting system based on multiobjective optimization and improved data decomposition integration strategy

Author

Listed:
  • Yuqi Dong
  • Jianzhou Wang
  • Xinsong Niu
  • Bo Zeng

Abstract

Water quality forecasting has great practical significance for sustainable utilization of water resources and timely pollution prevention and control. However, owing to irregularity and volatility of water quality data, achieving accurate forecasts remains a challenging problem. Existing single forecasting models based on points forecasts fail to capture the uncertainty in water quality data or obtain high forecasting accuracy. To address those disadvantages, an uncertain combined water quality forecasting system based on time‐varying filtering empirical mode decomposition strategy and multiobjective immune selection optimization is proposed. Simulations are carried out with actual water quality data obtained during dry and wet periods. Empirical results show that the improved empirical mode decomposition strategy has better data denoising effect. Based on the multiobjective optimization algorithm, not only the Pareto optimal weights of the combined forecasting modules can be obtained but also the distribution function parameters can be effectively optimized. The proposed system can integrate the respective advantages of deep learning and neural network models to improve the forecasting accuracy, and effectively analyze the uncertainty of water quality, and provide technical support for the sustainable development of regional water environment.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuqi Dong & Jianzhou Wang & Xinsong Niu & Bo Zeng, 2023. "Combined water quality forecasting system based on multiobjective optimization and improved data decomposition integration strategy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(2), pages 260-287, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jforec:v:42:y:2023:i:2:p:260-287
    DOI: 10.1002/for.2905
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/for.2905
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/for.2905?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Niu, Xinsong & Wang, Jiyang, 2019. "A combined model based on data preprocessing strategy and multi-objective optimization algorithm for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 519-539.
    2. Jiang, Ping & Li, Ranran & Liu, Ningning & Gao, Yuyang, 2020. "A novel composite electricity demand forecasting framework by data processing and optimized support vector machine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    3. Ankita P. Dadhich & Rohit Goyal & Pran N. Dadhich, 2021. "Assessment and Prediction of Groundwater using Geospatial and ANN Modeling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(9), pages 2879-2893, July.
    4. Yang, Wendong & Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Tong & Du, Pei, 2019. "A hybrid forecasting system based on a dual decomposition strategy and multi-objective optimization for electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 1205-1225.
    5. Yang, Shaobo & Deng, Zegui & Li, Xingfei & Zheng, Chongwei & Xi, Lintong & Zhuang, Jucheng & Zhang, Zhenquan & Zhang, Zhiyou, 2021. "A novel hybrid model based on STL decomposition and one-dimensional convolutional neural networks with positional encoding for significant wave height forecast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 531-543.
    6. Zhang, Xiaobo & Wang, Jianzhou & Gao, Yuyang, 2019. "A hybrid short-term electricity price forecasting framework: Cuckoo search-based feature selection with singular spectrum analysis and SVM," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 899-913.
    7. Jiang, He & Tao, Changqi & Dong, Yao & Xiong, Ren, 2021. "Robust low-rank multiple kernel learning with compound regularization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(2), pages 634-647.
    8. Stephen Stajkowski & Deepak Kumar & Pijush Samui & Hossein Bonakdari & Bahram Gharabaghi, 2020. "Genetic-Algorithm-Optimized Sequential Model for Water Temperature Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-18, July.
    9. Jiang, He & Luo, Shihua & Dong, Yao, 2021. "Simultaneous feature selection and clustering based on square root optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 289(1), pages 214-231.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Selda Palabıyık & Tamer Akkan, 2026. "Evaluation of water quality based on artificial intelligence: performance of multilayer perceptron neural networks and multiple linear regression versus water quality indexes," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 2717-2740, February.
    2. Futian Weng & Dongsheng Cheng & Muni Zhuang & Xin Lu & Cai Yang, 2024. "The effects of governance quality on renewable and nonrenewable energy consumption: An explainable decision frame," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 2146-2162, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Ping & Liu, Zhenkun & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Lifang, 2021. "Decomposition-selection-ensemble forecasting system for energy futures price forecasting based on multi-objective version of chaos game optimization algorithm," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    2. Jiang, Ping & Li, Ranran & Liu, Ningning & Gao, Yuyang, 2020. "A novel composite electricity demand forecasting framework by data processing and optimized support vector machine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 260(C).
    3. Yang, Wendong & Sun, Shaolong & Hao, Yan & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "A novel machine learning-based electricity price forecasting model based on optimal model selection strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    4. Wang, Jianzhou & Gao, Jialu & Wei, Danxiang, 2022. "Electric load prediction based on a novel combined interval forecasting system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    5. Du, Pei & Guo, Ju'e & Sun, Shaolong & Wang, Shouyang & Wu, Jing, 2022. "A novel two-stage seasonal grey model for residential electricity consumption forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    6. Lifang Zhang & Jianzhou Wang & Zhenkun Liu, 2023. "Power grid operation optimization and forecasting using a combined forecasting system," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 124-153, January.
    7. Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Zhang, Lifang & Liu, Zhenkun & Wei, Danxiang, 2022. "The influence of international oil prices on the exchange rates of oil exporting countries: Based on the hybrid copula function," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    8. Hasnain Iftikhar & Josue E. Turpo-Chaparro & Paulo Canas Rodrigues & Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales, 2023. "Forecasting Day-Ahead Electricity Prices for the Italian Electricity Market Using a New Decomposition—Combination Technique," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-23, September.
    9. Danxiang Wei & Jianzhou Wang & Kailai Ni & Guangyu Tang, 2019. "Research and Application of a Novel Hybrid Model Based on a Deep Neural Network Combined with Fuzzy Time Series for Energy Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-38, September.
    10. Nie, Ying & Li, Ping & Wang, Jianzhou & Zhang, Lifang, 2024. "A novel multivariate electrical price bi-forecasting system based on deep learning, a multi-input multi-output structure and an operator combination mechanism," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 366(C).
    11. Mustafa Saglam & Xiaojing Lv & Catalina Spataru & Omer Ali Karaman, 2024. "Instantaneous Electricity Peak Load Forecasting Using Optimization and Machine Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(4), pages 1-22, February.
    12. Jiang, Ping & Nie, Ying & Wang, Jianzhou & Huang, Xiaojia, 2023. "Multivariable short-term electricity price forecasting using artificial intelligence and multi-input multi-output scheme," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    13. Jasiński, Tomasz, 2020. "Use of new variables based on air temperature for forecasting day-ahead spot electricity prices using deep neural networks: A new approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    14. Yu Jin & Honggang Guo & Jianzhou Wang & Aiyi Song, 2020. "A Hybrid System Based on LSTM for Short-Term Power Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-32, November.
    15. Sajjad Khan & Shahzad Aslam & Iqra Mustafa & Sheraz Aslam, 2021. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting by Employing Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Extreme Learning Machine," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-18, June.
    16. Han, Te & Gu, Xiaoyang & Li, Dan & Chen, Kaiyuan & Cong, Rong-Gang & Zhao, Lu-Tao & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2025. "Causal neural network for carbon prices probabilistic forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 397(C).
    17. Wang, Jianzhou & An, Yining & Li, Zhiwu & Lu, Haiyan, 2022. "A novel combined forecasting model based on neural networks, deep learning approaches, and multi-objective optimization for short-term wind speed forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    18. Dai, Yeming & Yang, Xinyu & Leng, Mingming, 2022. "Forecasting power load: A hybrid forecasting method with intelligent data processing and optimized artificial intelligence," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    19. Nie, Ying & Liang, Ni & Wang, Jianzhou, 2021. "Ultra-short-term wind-speed bi-forecasting system via artificial intelligence and a double-forecasting scheme," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    20. Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro & Stéfano Frizzo Stefenon & José Donizetti de Lima & Ademir Nied & Viviana Cocco Mariani & Leandro dos Santos Coelho, 2020. "Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Self-Adaptive Decomposition and Heterogeneous Ensemble Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-22, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:jforec:v:42:y:2023:i:2:p:260-287. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/jhome/2966 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.