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The holiday and Yom Kippur War sentiment effects: the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE)

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  • Guy Kaplanski
  • Haim Levy

Abstract

Several empirical studies reveal that holidays generally create positive sentiment in the stock market, whereas negative events, such as wars or disasters, are accompanied by negative sentiment. However, what happens if a negative event occurs on a holiday? In such a case, we expect two conflicting sentiment effects, which may cancel one another out or, alternatively, one effect may dominate the other. The stock market in Israel provides a unique laboratory in which to test these two conflicting effects, as Israel faced a horrible war on the Yom Kippur holiday in 1973—a war whose influence is still strongly felt today. Indeed, we find two robust effects: A strong and significant positive holiday sentiment effect; and a negative war sentiment effect, which dominates the positive holiday effect. These results, which show how sentiment effects are created, are general and can easily be applied to other events and other markets when conflicting sentiment effects occur.

Suggested Citation

  • Guy Kaplanski & Haim Levy, 2012. "The holiday and Yom Kippur War sentiment effects: the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange (TASE)," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(8), pages 1283-1298, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:12:y:2012:i:8:p:1283-1298
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2010.504225
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    1. repec:eee:finmar:v:35:y:2017:i:c:p:84-103 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. CURATOLA, Giuliano & DONADELLI, Michael & KIZYS, Renatas & RIEDEL, Max, 2016. "Investor Sentiment and Sectoral Stock Returns: Evidence from World Cup Games," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 17(C), pages 267-274.
    3. Yang, Ann Shawing, 2016. "Calendar trading of Taiwan stock market: A study of holidays on trading detachment and interruptions," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 140-154.
    4. Kelley Bergsma & Danling Jiang, 2016. "Cultural New Year Holidays and Stock Returns around the World," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 45(1), pages 3-35, March.
    5. Paulo M. Gama & Elisabete F. S. Vieira, 2013. "Another look at the holiday effect," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(20), pages 1623-1633, October.

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