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Homo certus in professional basketball? Empirical evidence from the 2011 NBA Playoffs

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  • Scott Wallace
  • Steven B. Caudill
  • Franklin G. Mixon

Abstract

The current article builds on Berri and Eschker's (2005) research on the impact of crunch time, or pressure-packed performance, in professional basketball by searching for changes in individual player performance near the end of the game. In this way, our study is similar to the study of Savage and Torgler (2012), which examined World Cup soccer performances. Here, we focus solely on National Basketball Association (NBA) Playoff games (from 2011), which are the most stressful games to players. The empirical analyses presented in this study generally confirm earlier research contending that the existence of a prime time or clutch player in the NBA is a myth. On the contrary, our work supports the idea that professional basketball fans often exhibit confirmation bias, wherein they tend to overweight clutch performances that support their a priori beliefs.

Suggested Citation

  • Scott Wallace & Steven B. Caudill & Franklin G. Mixon, 2013. "Homo certus in professional basketball? Empirical evidence from the 2011 NBA Playoffs," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(7), pages 642-648, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:20:y:2013:i:7:p:642-648
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2012.727965
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David A. Savage & Benno Torgler, 2012. "Nerves of steel? Stress, work performance and elite athletes," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(19), pages 2423-2435, July.
    2. David J. Berri & Erick Eschker, 2005. "Performance When It Counts? The Myth of the Prime Time Performer in Professional Basketball," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(3), pages 798-807, September.
    3. David J. Berri, 1999. "Who is 'most valuable'? Measuring the player's production of wins in the National Basketball Association," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 20(8), pages 411-427.
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