IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v38y2024i7d10.1007_s11269-024-03787-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An Agent-based Framework for Transition from Traditional to Advanced Water Supply Systems in Arid Regions

Author

Listed:
  • Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi

    (Sultan Qaboos University
    University of Technology Sydney)

  • Azizallah Izady

    (Sultan Qaboos University)

  • Mohammad Reza Nikoo

    (Sultan Qaboos University)

  • Ali Al-Maktoumi

    (Sultan Qaboos University
    Sultan Qaboos University)

  • Mingjie Chen

    (Sultan Qaboos University)

  • Amir H. Gandomi

    (University of Technology Sydney
    Obuda University)

Abstract

The poor performance of traditional surface irrigation systems has motivated a transition to more advanced and efficient irrigation systems, especially in arid areas. However, such a transition often results in some local conflicts between the decision-makers and farmers in fear of losing their original water rights. This study proposes an agent-based modeling (ABM) framework to evaluate the suitability of this transition for modernizing traditional surface irrigation systems. A Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) optimization model was first developed to determine the optimal water allocation scheduling for the current surface irrigation system. An ABM was then developed to model and optimize the evolution of surface irrigation systems towards advanced irrigation systems considering the interactions among agents and their environment. The proposed ABM framework was applied for modernizing several agricultural zones with multi-crop and intercropping systems and a variable water supply source in Muscat, Oman. Results suggest that using the advanced irrigation system in dry, normal, and wet conditions decreases the percentage of water shortage in 5% of worst cases from 87%, 75%, and 32% (under the traditional irrigation system) to 30%, 9%, and 0%, respectively. It was also found that the overall irrigation efficiency of the study area is increased from 48 to 92% in all agricultural zones. Although the transition from surface to modern water allocation systems is time-consuming and expensive, the proposed framework can facilitate this transition and enhance the water resource planning and management in areas with limited water availability.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi & Azizallah Izady & Mohammad Reza Nikoo & Ali Al-Maktoumi & Mingjie Chen & Amir H. Gandomi, 2024. "An Agent-based Framework for Transition from Traditional to Advanced Water Supply Systems in Arid Regions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(7), pages 2565-2579, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:38:y:2024:i:7:d:10.1007_s11269-024-03787-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-024-03787-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-024-03787-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-024-03787-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Falcon, W. P. & Fowler, C., 2002. "Carving up the commons--emergence of a new international regime for germplasm development and transfer," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 197-222, June.
    2. Alireza Nouri & Bahram Saghafian & Majid Delavar & Mohammad Reza Bazargan-Lari, 2019. "Agent-Based Modeling for Evaluation of Crop Pattern and Water Management Policies," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(11), pages 3707-3720, September.
    3. Walaa Elnashar & Ahmed Elyamany, 2023. "Managing Risks of Climate Change on Irrigation Water in Arid Regions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2429-2446, May.
    4. Guerrero, Bridget L. & Amosson, Stephen H. & Almas, Lal K., 2008. "Integrating Stakeholder Input into Water Policy Development and Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 40(2), pages 1-7, August.
    5. Guerrero, Bridget & Amosson, Steve & Almas, Lal, 2008. "Integrating Stakeholder Input into Water Policy Development and Analysis," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 40(2), pages 465-471, August.
    6. Thi Tam Duong & Tom Brewer & Jo Luck & Kerstin Zander, 2019. "A Global Review of Farmers’ Perceptions of Agricultural Risks and Risk Management Strategies," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-16, January.
    7. Luis Santos Pereira, 2017. "Water, Agriculture and Food: Challenges and Issues," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(10), pages 2985-2999, August.
    8. Azizallah Izady & Mohammad Sadegh Khorshidi & Mohammad Reza Nikoo & Ali Al-Maktoumi & Mingjie Chen & Hilal Al-Mamari & Amir H. Gandomi, 2021. "Optimal Water Allocation from Subsurface Dams: A Risk-Based Optimization Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(12), pages 4275-4290, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Perez-Quesada, Gabriela & Hendricks, Nathan P., 2021. "Lessons from local governance and collective action efforts to manage irrigation withdrawals in Kansas," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    2. Fan, Yubing & Park, Seong C., 2018. "A Meta-analysis of Water Conservation Policies in the Southern Ogallala Aquifer Region," 2018 Annual Meeting, February 2-6, 2018, Jacksonville, Florida 266656, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    3. Qian Li & Yan Chen & Shikun Sun & Muyuan Zhu & Jing Xue & Zihan Gao & Jinfeng Zhao & Yihe Tang, 2022. "Research on Crop Irrigation Schedules Under Deficit Irrigation—A Meta-analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(12), pages 4799-4817, September.
    4. Mekonnen, D. & Spielman, D., 2018. "Changing patterns in the international movement of crop genetic material: An analysis of global policy drivers and potential consequences," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277432, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    5. Ghulam Raza Sargani & Yuansheng Jiang & Abbas Ali Chandio & Yun Shen & Zhao Ding & Asif Ali, 2023. "Impacts of livelihood assets on adaptation strategies in response to climate change: evidence from Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(7), pages 6117-6140, July.
    6. George Tsakiris, 2017. "Facets of Modern Water Resources Management: Prolegomena," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(10), pages 2899-2904, August.
    7. Feng Huang & Baoguo Li, 2020. "What is the Redline Water Withdrawal for Crop Production in China?—Projection to 2030 Derived from the Past Twenty-Year Trajectory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-14, May.
    8. Das, Biswa R. & Willis, David B. & Johnson, Jeffrey W., 2010. "Effectiveness of Two Water Conservation Policies: An Integrated Modeling Approach," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(4), pages 1-16, November.
    9. Roman Vavrek & Ivana Kravčáková Vozárová & Rastislav Kotulič, 2021. "Evaluating the Financial Health of Agricultural Enterprises in the Conditions of the Slovak Republic Using Bankruptcy Models," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-19, March.
    10. Xing Liu & Zhaoyang Cai & Yan Xu & Huihui Zheng & Kaige Wang & Fengrong Zhang, 2022. "Suitability Evaluation of Cultivated Land Reserved Resources in Arid Areas Based on Regional Water Balance," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(4), pages 1463-1479, March.
    11. Nicholas R. Magliocca, 2020. "Agent-Based Modeling for Integrating Human Behavior into the Food–Energy–Water Nexus," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-25, December.
    12. Bruno Borsari, 2011. "Agroecology to the rescue of food security and germplasm conservation in a global market economy," International Journal of Agricultural Resources, Governance and Ecology, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1/2), pages 1-14.
    13. Monjardino, Marta & Harrison, Matthew T. & DeVoil, Peter & Rodriguez, Daniel & Sadras, Victor O., 2022. "Agronomic and on-farm infrastructure adaptations to manage economic risk in Australian irrigated broadacre systems: A case study," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    14. Liu, Meihan & Paredes, Paula & Shi, Haibin & Ramos, Tiago B. & Dou, Xu & Dai, Liping & Pereira, Luis S., 2022. "Impacts of a shallow saline water table on maize evapotranspiration and groundwater contribution using static water table lysimeters and the dual Kc water balance model SIMDualKc," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    15. Mandal, Raju & Singha, Pratiti, 2020. "Impact of Climate Change on Average Yields and their Variability of the Principal Crops in Assam," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 0(Number 3), September.
    16. Marius Mihai Micu & Toma Adrian Dinu & Gina Fintineru & Valentina Constanta Tudor & Elena Stoian & Eduard Alexandru Dumitru & Paula Stoicea & Adina Iorga, 2022. "Climate Change—Between “Myth and Truth” in Romanian Farmers’ Perception," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.
    17. Luigi Biagini & Simone Severini, 2022. "How Does the Farmer Strike a Balance between Income and Risk across Inputs? An Application in Italian Field Crop Farms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-15, December.
    18. Gao, Zitian & Guo, Danlu & Ryu, Dongryeol & Western, Andrew W., 2024. "Exploring key factors driving farm-level seasonal irrigation water usage with Bayesian hierarchical modelling," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    19. Fernández, J.E. & Alcon, F. & Diaz-Espejo, A. & Hernandez-Santana, V. & Cuevas, M.V., 2020. "Water use indicators and economic analysis for on-farm irrigation decision: A case study of a super high density olive tree orchard," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    20. Juan Carlos Pérez-Mesa & Francisco Javier Pérez-Mesa & Juan José Tapia-León & Diego Luis Valera, 2022. "Scheduling vegetable sales to supermarkets in Europe: The tomato case," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 68(11), pages 403-412.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:38:y:2024:i:7:d:10.1007_s11269-024-03787-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.